Exelon Corporation (EXC) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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EXCpeers & supply-chain relationships

EXC fair-value estimate

EXC earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.86M · 3-mo avg 7.71M

Exelon Corporation (EXC)

EXCExelon Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$45.39
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$47.00
near the top of its usual range and a heavy call-option level · midpoint $47.00 · Nov 6
±$1.65
±3.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume5% above normal1.05× its 20-day average
Past year's range$39.73 – $50.65lowest to highest price
From its peak21.3% belowpeak $57.96, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.64 to 1$0.64 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$43.47the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$43.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.5fires under 35 · fires near $40.42
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.1× next year17.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 64%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 17.0×
Cash it generates-4.8%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 21% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.5
fires under 35 · fires near $40.42
vs 50-day
●
$43.00
above the line · fires near $43.36
Bollinger
●
$41.35
no lower pierce · fires near $40.78
VWAP 20
●
$44.78
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $44.77
Entry level
✓
$45.39
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.17
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.05×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.96
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 65 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.42
ex-date 2026-12-04