Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 679.9K · 3-mo avg 1.26M

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL)

DUOLDuolingo, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$142.79
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$351–355
center $353.00 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$11.95
8.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.59×
52-week range$87.89 – $353.00
Below high since 2021-73.7% · $544.93 high
Risk / reward13.36 : 1
Plan stop$127.83
Max pain$146.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.1 fires under 35 · fires near $122.32
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple19.8× fwd · 17.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past26th pctile · 144.8× median
Free cash flow yield5.1% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 2.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
48.1
fires under 35 · fires near $122.32
vs 50-day
●
$140.91
above the line · fires near $142.28
Bollinger
●
$138.09
no lower pierce · fires near $136.68
VWAP 20
✓
$149.50
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$142.79
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$140.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.87
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.59×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
19.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file