Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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DUOL fair-value estimate

DUOL earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:02 PM ETVol 537.5K · 3-mo avg 1.25M

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL)

DUOLDuolingo, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 8 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$153.48
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$211–216
near the 52-week high · midpoint $213.37 · Nov 9
±$13.71
±8.9% up or down, priced by the options market
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not on file
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not on file
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Trading volume6% above normal1.06× its 20-day average
Past year's range$87.89 – $213.37lowest to highest price
From its peak71.7% belowpeak $544.93, highest since 2021
Plan fails below$128.89the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$155.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)56.4fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.3× next year51.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 41%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 134.0×
Cash it generates4.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 43% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 evaluable
RSI 14
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56.4
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
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$145.77
above the line · fires near $146.94
Bollinger
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$124.76
no lower pierce · fires near $121.68
VWAP 20
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$149.94
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $149.89
Entry level
✓
$153.48
within 1% of model level
Put wall
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not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.63
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.06×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
17.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$11.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
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not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file