Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CVLT fair-value estimate

CVLT earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 239.4K · 3-mo avg 666.4K

Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT)

CVLTCommvault Systems, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$147.78
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 3.2% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$197–200
center $198.18 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$14.99
10.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.20×
52-week range$71.75 – $198.18
Below high since 2015-25.9% · $200.68 high
Risk / reward3.45 : 1
Plan stop$133.17
Max pain$135.00 options cluster
RSI 1462.8 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags4 review
Earnings multiple95.3× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past54th pctile · 83.4× median
Free cash flow yield4.0% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 3.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
62.8
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$138.01
above the line · fires near $139.29
Bollinger
$125.14
no lower pierce · fires near $123.37
VWAP 20
$135.66
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $135.53
Entry level
$147.78
below the model level
Put wall
$115.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+1.52
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.20×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file