Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.97M · 3-mo avg 7.98M

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY)

CRGYCrescent Energy Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 70/100 · was 10 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$11.16
near a support level · Nov 6
$11.96
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $11.96 · Nov 6
±$0.87
±7.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 17% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 17% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume34% below normal0.66× its 20-day average
Past year's range$7.68 – $15.47lowest to highest price
From its peak43.7% belowpeak $19.92, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk0.62 to 1$0.62 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$10.02the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$13.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)30.5washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit74.8× last 12 months
Cash it generates-1.9%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
30.5
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$13.47
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$11.42
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$13.08
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$11.16
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$13.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-0.28
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
12.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.57
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-22
in 71 sessions
Next dividend
4.28% yld
no ex-date on file