Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) — Airlines. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CPApeers & supply-chain relationships

CPA fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 205.9K · 3-mo avg 301.1K

Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA)

CPACopa Holdings, S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$130.39
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$134–136
center $134.76 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.88
6.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.26×
52-week range$107.44 – $160.47
Below high since 2015-18.3% · $160.47 high
Risk / reward0.38 : 1
Plan stop$123.84
Max pain$135.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.7 fires under 35 · fires near $122.16
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple6.8× fwd · 8.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past21st pctile · 8.8× median
Free cash flow yield1.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
50.7
fires under 35 · fires near $122.16
vs 50-day
$134.66
below the line
Bollinger
$125.16
no lower pierce · fires near $124.32
VWAP 20
$128.75
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $128.73
Entry level
$130.39
level below · fires near $131.64
Put wall
$120.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.44
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.26×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-18
in 44 sessions
Next dividend
5.19% yld
no ex-date on file