Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) — Airlines. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CPApeers & supply-chain relationships

CPA fair-value estimate

CPA earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 242.3K · 3-mo avg 308.4K

Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA)

CPACopa Holdings, S.A.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$142.09
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$149–151
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $150.00 · Nov 6
±$5.55
±3.9% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$107.44 – $160.47lowest to highest price
From its peak11.0% belowpeak $160.47, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.59 to 1$0.59 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$130.55the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$135.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.5fires under 35 · fires near $114.57
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.6× next year9.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 55%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 8.6×
Cash it generates0.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 49% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.5
fires under 35 · fires near $114.57
vs 50-day
●
$132.60
above the line · fires near $133.57
Bollinger
●
$125.86
no lower pierce · fires near $124.70
VWAP 20
●
$134.76
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $134.66
Entry level
✓
$142.09
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$190.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+1.21
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.77
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-18
in 8 sessions
Next dividend
4.79% yld
no ex-date on file