Deep dive · NasdaqGM: CLMB
Climb Global Solutions, Inc. stock analysis
Everything behind the call on Climb Global Solutions, Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tapeOverseas lean-3.77%
FrankfurtPYA-3.77%⏱
Where else this company trades. A closed venue shows its last close, marked ⏱ — not a live price. Overseas lean is the average move across the 1 overseas venue listed above with a quote, excluding the home listing — a read on overnight sentiment rather than a signal.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-11-06
Chart pattern
Above both averages
The 50-day sits above the 200-day
50-day $32.22 · +23.2%
200-day $26.03 · +52.5%
200-day $26.03 · +52.5%
Earnings
In 108 days
24 Feb 2027
beat 5–6 of the last 8
cohort P(beat) 64% · n=46,131
cohort P(beat) 64% · n=46,131
Valuation
19.7× forward
90th of its own five-year range
5yr median 20×
Dividend
0.13%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
3 on watch
5 checks run, 2 clear
beta 0.61 · vol 99% ann.
worst drawdown -48%
worst drawdown -48%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
NasdaqGM · USDElectronics & Computer Distribution
$39.70-0.15 · -0.38%CLOSED · vol 211.3K
52-week range↑ 160% off low · ↓ 11.6% off high
$15.25now $39.70$44.89
Quote Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-06
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-06
01Ratios · Aug 6, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 2.7 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 2 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
2.69GREY ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetAug 6, 2026
Piotroski F-scoreWATCH
F 6/9
Piotroski F-score 6 of 9. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Leverage · long-term debt / total assetsthe share of everything the company owns that long-term borrowing funds0.00
Your ownership stake
Buyback yieldGROSS
0.51%
Repurchases as a share of market value, before new issuance is netted off.
Stock-based comp / revenueIN LINE
0.7%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
Diluted vs basic share gapTHIN OVERHANG
0.00%
Options and awards already granted, expressed as the gap between the diluted and basic counts.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE B
70 / 100
0 critical · 3 watch · 2 clear of 5 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressWATCHZ 2.69Altman-Z in the Grey · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationCLEARM -2.25M-score in range · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.00long-term debt 0.00× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityWATCHF 6/9Piotroski F-score 6 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH1 flag1 filing red flag on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 2 clear and 3 watch. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02
Business quality
The quality blocks below render whatever the filings support; anything absent says so in place.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
12-1 momentum
+15.7%EX LAST MONTH
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Profitability
Data unavailableNo parsed income statement is on file, so margins, returns on capital and cash generation cannot be computed for this name.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month+21.8%
3 months+46.4%
6 months+97.3%
Year to date+54.5%
1 year+40.7%
Relative-strength rankTOP 4%
97 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsOct 28, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
64%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT 5–6 OF THE LAST 8
5 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Fell after a beatP(FELL | BEAT)
36%
A beat is not a plan: this share of them still closed lower on the day.
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±10.5%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Consensus bias1.05× COHORT
Persistent
consensus runs low for this name — it routinely clears the bar
Dividends & income
Dividend yieldforward annual
0.13%
The cash return the payment alone provides at today's price.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geographyFY2025 · dimensional XBRL
Signal
One segment is the company.
Distribution Segment is 96% of revenue across 2 disclosed segments, giving a product HHI of 9,261. That means this stock's cycle is that one market's cycle, and the diversification the other lines suggest is not really there.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Nov 6, 2026
Uptrend · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%-0.1%1,163,542
21d47%-0.4%549,860
63d47%-0.8%174,335
slope +0.33 over 40 bars
Spinning top
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%-0.1%200,974
21d49%-0.2%94,842
63d49%-0.1%30,228
small body, shadows both sides
Three black crows · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d50%0.0%323,402
21d50%0.0%152,192
63d49%-0.3%48,325
three falling red bars
Double top · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%1,261,485
21d50%0.0%593,026
63d52%+0.4%187,344
two peaks ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Cup and handle · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%-0.3%717,973
21d46%-0.6%340,024
63d47%-1.3%107,220
U-base + small handle pullback
0390TH OF ITS 5-YEAR RANGE
Price & timing
Price $39.70, 19.7× forward earnings, RSI 63.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Above 50 & 2003 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $32.22 · 200-day $26.03. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-11-04 → 2026-11-06
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Down 0.38% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Momentum (RSI-14)WARM
63
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±6.5%
$2.56
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDABOVE SIGNAL
+0.59
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position75% OF RANGE
Mid band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE ABOVE
$37.23
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitLONG INTACT
$37.20
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
24 Feb 2027 · in 108 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number.
2026-11-10 · in 2 daysInflation (CPI)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
49 / 51cohort n=12,270
Effectively a coin flip. A split this close is not an edge you can size on, whichever side is nominally ahead. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.21× segment rate · n=11,198
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 96% of cases (n=11,198).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
1.0σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$37 – $401 support
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $38.54.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
0 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds are a coin flip.
Historically, names tripping 1 validated red flag finished lower 12 months later in 50% of cases (n=12,270) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashBELOW CASH
-2.20pp
Cash pays more than the earnings yield today, so what you are buying is future growth rather than a current return.
Multiples
Forward P/Eearnings expected over the next 12 months19.7×5yr median 20×
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported31.0×90th of its 5yr range
1 of the 2 priced multiples above sits in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingNov 6, 2026
Entryzone of S1
$39.50In zone
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetBb upper + 52-week high + round
$44.65$44–$45
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$34.38risk $5.12/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
1.00:1
Reward against risk on the composer's own levels.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
-18.8%
short-term trend line · $32.22
To the 200-day
-34.4%
primary trend line · $26.03
To the composer's target
+12.5%
Bb upper + 52-week high + round · set Nov 6, 2026 · $44.65
To the composer's stop
-13.4%
2× ATR below entry · set Nov 6, 2026 · $34.38
To the 52-week high
+13.1%
highest print of the past year · $44.89
To the 52-week low
-61.6%
lowest print of the past year · $15.25
A typical day (ATR)
$37.14 – $42.26
±$2.56 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
The levels line up.
Entry $39.50 · stop $34.38 · target $44.65, a 1.00:1 ratio.
Gamma map
Data unavailableThis name has no listed options chain, so there is no dealer gamma to map. Regime, flip level, walls and the implied move all need a chain to exist.
Options tape
Data unavailableNo options chain is connected for this ticker. Max pain, the put/call ratio, the implied move and the open-interest ladder all need the chain feed.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL +2
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 83%, short interest is 9.25% of float.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
+2BALANCED · 30d
1 bull / 0 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+2
latest EPS beat by 14%
Signal
1 bull / 0 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to +2 over 30d, a balanced reading. 1 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street
Data unavailableNo sell-side firm publishes research on this name. There is no consensus rating, no price target and no estimate revisions to weigh — for a company this size that is the norm rather than a gap in our data.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
83.0%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
11.7%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)LIGHT
9.25%
Falling — shares short changed -8.9% over 30 days. A crowded short is fuel in both directions.
Free float83% OF SHARES
15.39M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)61st PCTILE
$6.45M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNONE
-0.38%
CLMB was little changed −0.38% since the last close — no notable catalyst, and the move itself was modest.
Congress
Data unavailableNo congressional trades in this name have been disclosed under the STOCK Act. Lawmakers' disclosed trades cluster heavily in large caps, so an empty list is the usual state.
050 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 0.61, 99% annual volatility, a -48% worst drawdown, and 1 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−18.8%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−35.4%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementNEAR-NORMAL
1.4×
The tail runs close to what a normal curve would predict, so volatility is a reasonable proxy for risk here — which is not true of every name.
Max drawdownWORST FALL
-47.7%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)LOW FIT
0.61
The market explains about 2.3% of its daily moves, so this beta says little about how it tracks the index — most of its movement is its own.
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
99%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure0
Buying pressure48
Overheat13
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
What votes against
Data unavailableNo factor in the model currently votes against this name. That is a statement about the model's inputs today, not a claim that nothing could go wrong.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
1.8%tail cap binds
max defensible size 1.8% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
6.1%0.7× its cohort · mid-volume names
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this mid-volume names segment: 8.7%. This name reads 0.7× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 11.0% · tail cap 1.8% · category cap 54.6%. The tail cap binds, so 1.8% is the number (n=105,487). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
MedLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 26.3% against a 14.4% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — above the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
LowCash runwayNot scored for this name.Not scored
MedPost-earnings driftMove already priced: after jumps this large, measured drift edge is zero.Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
1 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 1 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -48%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 99% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You want income
A 0.13% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 1.8% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record0 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
14 logged
14 calls logged on this name, 0 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
0610-K disclosed linksELECTRONICS & COMPUTER DISTRIBUTION
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 4 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-170.0% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (headwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
SNXPeer$218.73+1.56%
8023.TPeerJPY 995.00-4.14%
3020.TPeerJPY 4,350.00-4.40%
ARWPeer$181.09+2.27%
AVTPeer$79.28+3.46%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
Every backward window is positive.
That is the definition of a stock that has already worked, and it says nothing about the next window. What it does tell you is what a drawdown would be measured against.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 2 DAYS
Inflation (CPI)
2026-11-10. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockNov 4, 2026
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Hotter inflation means higher interest rates for longer, and that hits fast-growing tech companies hardest because most of their value sits in profits years away.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +0.3% · Two weeks later +1.8% · Rose on 24 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, CLMB moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 1.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI) is due in 2 days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedHotter inflation means higher interest rates for longer, and that hits fast-growing tech companies hardest because most of their value sits in profits years away.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.8% · A week later +2.0% · Two weeks later +2.1% · Rose on 26 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, CLMB moved +0.8% on average on the day and was 2.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Higher rates for longer hit tech hardest, because so much of its value is profits years away.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +0.7% · Two weeks later +3.1% · Rose on 22 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, CLMB moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 3.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Inflation (CPI) is due in 2 days.
Inflation (CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedHotter inflation means higher interest rates for longer, and that hits fast-growing tech companies hardest because most of their value sits in profits years away.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.8% · A week later +2.0% · Two weeks later +2.1% · Rose on 26 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Inflation (CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, CLMB moved +0.8% on average on the day and was 2.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
PCE inflationUsually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Hotter inflation means higher interest rates for longer, and that hits fast-growing tech companies hardest because most of their value sits in profits years away.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +0.3% · Two weeks later +1.8% · Rose on 24 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 PCE inflation reports since Jun 28, 2023, CLMB moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 1.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Initial jobless claimsUsually helps when more people file for benefits than expected
Rising joblessness pushes the Fed toward lower rates, which lifts growth-priced tech.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day 0.0% · A week later +0.7% · Two weeks later +1.7% · Rose on 89 of 172 report days
Across the last 172 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, CLMB moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 1.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Producer prices (PPI) is due in 5 days.
Producer prices (PPI)Usually hurts when producer prices run hotter than expectedHotter inflation means higher interest rates for longer, and that hits fast-growing tech companies hardest because most of their value sits in profits years away.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.8% · A week later +1.9% · Two weeks later +1.9% · Rose on 27 of 40 report days
Across the last 40 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, CLMB moved +0.8% on average on the day and was 1.9% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually hurts when job openings come in higher than expected
Strong hiring tells the Fed it can keep rates high, which weighs on growth-priced tech.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.6% · A week later +2.3% · Two weeks later +3.2% · Rose on 25 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2023, CLMB moved +0.6% on average on the day and was 3.2% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Customer momentumAug 6, 2026
Customer momentumTOP
+14.8%
The dependency-weighted trailing return of the customers this company discloses a revenue dependence on. Their tape leads its orders.
Lead-lag gapBEHIND CUSTOMERS
-8.1%
This company's own move less its customers' weighted move. A wide gap in either direction usually closes.
Disclosed customer dependencies
CustomerRevenue weightWindow returnLast filed
CDW24.0%+14.8%2022-03-09 · stale
Weights are as disclosed in the filings, so they describe the last reported period rather than today. Historical, point-in-time backtest of a cross-sectional screen (135 months, 2013-2026), gross of trading costs. The equal-weighted base effect is marginal (t 1.84); statistical significance relies on the dependency weighting (t 2.02). Validated on monthly rebalancing; served daily on the same 21-bar horizon. This is a research screen describing a group-level historical spread - not a forecast of any individual stock's return.
Connections4 links · 1 confirmed
Direct connections · 4 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
CDW · Suppliersupplier-0.88%Confirmed · 10K
AMZN · Suppliersupplier-0.35%Rumored · manual
MSFT · Partnerpartner-0.99%Rumored · manual
CRM · Competitorcompetitor-3.94%Rumored · manual
1 of 4 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.