Ciena Corporation (CIEN) — Communication Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CIENpeers & supply-chain relationships

CIEN fair-value estimate

CIEN earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.72M · 3-mo avg 2.86M

Ciena Corporation (CIEN)

CIENCiena Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 9 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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$242.17
near a support level · Nov 6
$255–265
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $260.00 · Nov 6
±$39.04
±16.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume42% above normal1.42× its 20-day average
Past year's range$168.22 – $637.51lowest to highest price
From its peak61.8% belowpeak $637.51, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.41 to 1$0.41 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$203.23the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$310.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)33.2washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.5× next year54.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 55%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 47.1×
Cash it generates1.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 5.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
33.2
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$350.87
below the line
Bollinger
●
$241.08
no lower pierce · fires near $240.22
VWAP 20
✓
$323.85
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$242.17
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$320.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-11.48
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.42×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$27.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-10
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file