Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CHRD fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 624.5K · 3-mo avg 754.8K

Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD)

CHRDChord Energy Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 4 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$135.59
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$138–141
center $139.51 · basis · daily pivot + round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.45
6.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.88×
52-week range$84.25 – $157.06
Below high since 2020-28.4% · $190.23 high
Risk / reward0.30 : 1
Plan stop$125.35
Max pain$140.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.9 fires under 35 · fires near $129.56
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple8.5× fwd · 9.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past78th pctile · 7.1× median
Free cash flow yield9.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
40.9
fires under 35 · fires near $129.56
vs 50-day
✓
$140.73
below the line
Bollinger
●
$135.07
no lower pierce · fires near $134.64
VWAP 20
✓
$146.28
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$135.59
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$155.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-2.01
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.00
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
3.82% yld
no ex-date on file