Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM) — $81.98 −3.64%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CALMpeers & supply-chain relationships

CALM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 716.0K · Avg 882.6K
CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc.$81.98-3.64%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$81.57
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$83–85
center $83.90 · basis · daily pivot + round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.05
8.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.81× · 716.0K vs 882.6K avg
52-week range$71.92 – $117.45
Below high since 2015-35.1% · $126.40 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$74.09
Max pain$45.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1441.3 fires under 35 · fires near $77.88
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$81.98
$74.93 · -8.6%-8.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.6% · $89.03+8.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
41.3
fires under 35 · fires near $77.88
vs 50-day
$82.65
at the line
Bollinger
$81.71
no lower pierce · fires near $81.58
VWAP 20
$87.53
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$81.57
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$80.00
OI strike below · fires near $80.39
MACD
-1.04
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.81×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
15.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
30 Sep 2026
· in 49 days
Next dividend
5.86% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed