Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) — $80.49 +5.09%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ADMpeers & supply-chain relationships

ADM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.51M · Avg 3.72M
ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Company$80.49+5.09%Pre-market$80.490.00%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=36OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$79.33
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$88–89
center $88.46 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.65
4.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.48× · 5.51M vs 3.72M avg
52-week range$55.58 – $88.46
Below high since 2015-18.5% · $98.74 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.7
Plan stop$74.00
Max pain$32.50 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1450.2 fires under 35 · fires near $75.81
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$80.49
$72.84 · -9.5%-9.5%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.5% · $84.14+4.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
50.2
fires under 35 · fires near $75.81
vs 50-day
$80.19
at the line
Bollinger
$75.51
no lower pierce · fires near $74.42
VWAP 20
$81.78
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$79.33
level below · fires near $80.11
Put wall
$80.00
OI strike below · fires near $80.39
MACD
-0.67
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.48×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.67
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
3 Nov 2026
· in 83 days
Next dividend
USD 0.52
ex-date 2026-08-19
prices 15-min delayed