The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) — Restaurants & Dining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 984.6K · 3-mo avg 1.65M

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)

CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$103.97
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$118–119
center $118.46 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.04
6.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.70×
52-week range$43.07 – $118.46
Below high since 2015-11.8% · $118.46 high
Risk / reward1.76 : 1
Plan stop$96.54
Max pain$105.00 options cluster
RSI 1452.5 fires under 35 · fires near $89.92
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple20.2× fwd · 27.2× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield3.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
52.5
fires under 35 · fires near $89.92
vs 50-day
●
$103.14
above the line · fires near $104.12
Bollinger
●
$94.56
no lower pierce · fires near $92.72
VWAP 20
●
$103.84
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $103.84
Entry level
✓
$103.97
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$105.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-2.07
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.70×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
20.7%
20.7% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$3.71
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
1.15% yld
no ex-date on file