The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) — Restaurants & Dining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:17 PM ETVol 371.7K · 3-mo avg 1.54M

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)

CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 1/100 · Nov 9
$110.41
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$118–121
near the top of its usual range, a heavy call-option level, the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $119.20 · Nov 9
±$6.99
±6.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume16% below normal0.84× its 20-day average
Past year's range$43.07 – $118.63lowest to highest price
From its peak6.5% belowpeak $118.63, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.71 to 1$0.71 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$98.10the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$92.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)51.1fires under 35 · fires near $94.57
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.9× next year25.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 67%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.2×
Cash it generates2.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
51.1
fires under 35 · fires near $94.57
vs 50-day
●
$107.78
above the line · fires near $108.76
Bollinger
●
$105.93
no lower pierce · fires near $105.09
VWAP 20
✓
$111.24
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$110.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.53
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
22.8%
22.8% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$5.76
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 66 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.30
ex-date 2026-11-10