Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (BSM) — $14.20 −1.25%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

BSMpeers & supply-chain relationships

BSM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 175.4K · Avg 431.0K
BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.$14.20-1.25%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$14.31
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$14.81
center $14.81 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.06
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~58% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.41× · 175.4K vs 431.0K avg
52-week range$11.78 – $15.49
Below high since 2015-30.2% · $20.61 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.3
Plan stop$13.72
Max pain$2.50 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1456.3 fires under 35 · fires near $12.53
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$14.20
$12.46 · -12.3%-12.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.4% · $15.26+7.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
56.3
fires under 35 · fires near $12.53
vs 50-day
$13.85
above the line · fires near $13.97
Bollinger
$13.79
no lower pierce · fires near $13.66
VWAP 20
$14.26
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$14.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$15.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
-0.01
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.41×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2 Nov 2026
· in 82 days
Next dividend
8.45% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed