Braze, Inc. (BRZE) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BRZE fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.28M · 3-mo avg 2.56M

Braze, Inc. (BRZE)

BRZEBraze, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 37/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$24.25
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$27–28
center $27.46 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.93
7.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.47×
52-week range$15.26 – $37.33
Below high since 2021-74.6% · $95.98 high
Risk / reward0.92 : 1
Plan stop$21.02
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.9 fires under 35 · fires near $22.99
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple24.8× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield2.1% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
38.9
fires under 35 · fires near $22.99
vs 50-day
✓
$27.43
below the line
Bollinger
●
$19.80
no lower pierce · fires near $18.67
VWAP 20
✓
$27.32
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$24.25
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$25.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.32
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.47×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
8.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-08
in 51 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file