Deep dive · NYSE: BMNR
Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. stock analysis
Everything behind the call on Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Why the reads disagreeread this before the sections
Trend and Event are pulling against each other and the split is genuine rather than a formality. The net lands at 0 over 30d, a balanced reading on a dispersion of 0.50.
Leans up · and why
analyst moves, sentiment vote up. 3 of 4 independent evidence families agree.
Leans down · and why
earnings vote down. 1 of 4 families lean the other way. The conflict that matters is Trend against Event.
What it changes
Size, not direction. dealers are short gamma, so swings get bigger both ways.
Global tapeOverseas lean+1.30%
FrankfurtY6G0+2.60%⏱ZurichBMNR—⏱MéxicoBMNR*0.00%⏱
Where else this company trades. A closed venue shows its last close, marked ⏱ — not a live price. Overseas lean is the average move across the 2 overseas venues listed above with a quote, excluding the home listing — a read on overnight sentiment rather than a signal.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-11-06
Wall Street rating
Buy
+144% to the average target
100% buy · 0% hold · 0% sell
mean target $46
mean target $46
Chart pattern
Below both averages
The 50-day sits above the 200-day
50-day $24.00 · -21.8%
200-day $20.69 · -9.3%
200-day $20.69 · -9.3%
Earnings
In 12 days
20 Nov 2026 · options imply ±13.9%
beat ≤1 of the last 4
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=21,200
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=21,200
Valuation
20.0× forward
Against consensus earnings
Dividend
0.05%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
2 on watch
5 checks run, 1 clear
beta 3.70 · vol 79% ann.
worst drawdown -68%
worst drawdown -68%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
NYSE · USDCapital Markets
$18.76-0.24 · -1.26%CLOSED · vol 23.59M
52-week range↑ 47% off low · ↓ 57.1% off high
$12.80now $18.76$43.77
Quote Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-06
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-06
01Ratios · Jun 22, 2026NO SOLVENCY RISK
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 52.8 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 1 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
52.76SAFE ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJun 22, 2026
Piotroski F-scoreWATCH
F 4/8
Piotroski F-score 4 of 8. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersHIGH DILUTION
100th pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Stock-based comp / revenueELEVATED
39.8%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
Diluted vs basic share gapTHIN OVERHANG
1.56%
Options and awards already granted, expressed as the gap between the diluted and basic counts.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE C
67 / 100
0 critical · 2 watch · 1 clear of 3 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCLEARZ 47.58Altman-Z in the safe zone · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationNAn/aBeneish-M not applicable to this sector · fundamentals
LeverageNAn/aLong-term debt / equity not available · fundamentals
Profitability qualityWATCHF 4/8Piotroski F-score 4 of 8 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH1 flag1 filing red flag on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 1 clear and 2 watch. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Nov 8, 2026GOOD · 63/100
Business quality
5,719% net margin, 4% return on equity, +84% revenue growth.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
63 / 100GOOD
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Nov 8, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
5,719.1%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
5.1%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
-5,949.7%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
4.0%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
Revenue (TTM)+84% YoY
$16.71M
Trailing twelve-month revenue from the latest filings.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month-22.0%
3 months+3.6%
6 months-15.4%
Year to date-30.9%
1 year-54.7%
Revenue growth (YoY)FAST
+84.1%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
12-1 momentumEX LAST MONTH
-41.9%
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Relative-strength rankTOP 22%
78 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsJul 14, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
39%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT ≤1 OF THE LAST 4
1 of 4
Its own record against consensus. 4 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Typical earnings moveData unavailableRealized move magnitudes are not published for this name yet — needs ≥8 measured prints · 4 on file.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Consensus bias0.64× COHORT
Persistent
misses more often than it beats, by small margins
Next reportIN 12 DAYS
20 Nov 2026
Reports amc · consensus EPS $0.20 · revenue 59.9 M
Dividends & income
Dividend yieldforward annual
0.05%
The cash return the payment alone provides at today's price.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Nov 6, 2026
Downtrend · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,308,676
21d47%0.0%613,759
63d47%-0.9%195,225
slope -0.32 over 40 bars
Hammer · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d45%-0.7%77,879
21d47%-0.8%36,586
63d46%-1.5%11,713
long lower shadow, small body at top
0320.0× FORWARD
Price & timing
Price $18.76, 20.0× forward earnings, RSI 36, and dealers short gamma.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Below every average0 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $24.00 · 200-day $20.69. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 359 sessions2025-06-05 → 2026-11-06
price50-day200-daylevel
How to read this
Down 1.26% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
The dashed levels are the strikes the options chain is most committed to. They are the same numbers the gamma block states; nothing here is drawn that no section derives.
Momentum (RSI-14)COOL
36
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±8.3%
$1.56
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-0.26
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position0% OF RANGE
Lower band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$21.71
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitBROKEN
$19.91
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
20 Nov 2026 · in 12 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number.
2026-11-10 · in 2 daysInflation (CPI)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
54 / 46cohort n=20,474
A lean, not a forecast. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.00× segment rate · n=1,289
Historically, crypto names in this tape state saw a ≥20% pullback within 63 trading days in 87% of cases (n=1,289).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
-2.0σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$17 – $193 supports
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $18.30, Pivot low at $18.29, Pivot low at $17.40.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
87 / 100Falling knife
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Historically, names tripping 0 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 46% of cases (n=20,474) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Multiples
Forward P/Eearnings expected over the next 12 months20.0×
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit1,654.8×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets1.2×
1 of the 3 priced multiples above sits in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingNov 6, 2026
Entryzone of pivot low + S1
$18.67In zone
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetCall wall
$20.00$20–$20
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$15.66risk $3.00/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
0.44:1flagged low
Less reward than risk at these levels. The composer publishes it rather than hiding it, because a sub-1 ratio is the argument against the trade.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
+27.9%
short-term trend line · $24.00
To the 200-day
+10.3%
primary trend line · $20.69
To the put wall
-25.4%
heaviest put open interest · $14.00
To the call wall
+6.6%
heaviest call open interest · $20.00
To the composer's target
+6.6%
Call wall · set Nov 6, 2026 · $20.00
To the composer's stop
-16.5%
2× ATR below entry · set Nov 6, 2026 · $15.66
To the 52-week high
+133.3%
highest print of the past year · $43.77
To the 52-week low
-31.8%
lowest print of the past year · $12.80
Options-implied week ±13.9%
$16.15 – $21.37
what the chain prices for the week
A typical day (ATR)
$17.20 – $20.32
±$1.56 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
Less reward than risk at this level.
Entry $18.67 · stop $15.66 · target $20.00, a 0.44:1 ratio. The composer flagged: elevated distress, gamma ceiling, low reward to risk, target inside one week's move.
Gamma mapChain · Nov 8, 2026
Signal
Short gamma — moves get amplified.
Dealers hedge in the same direction as the move, so swings get bigger both ways rather than one. That argues for a smaller position size, not for a direction.
Options tapeFront expiry 2026-11-13 · Chain · Nov 8, 2026
Max pain+6.6%
$20.00
The strike where most open options expire worthless. Price often drifts toward it into expiry.
Put / call ratio (OI)CALL-HEAVY
0.56
64% calls
36% puts
Open interest in puts against calls. Heavy call interest often caps how far price can run before expiry.
Put / call ratio (volume)TODAY'S FLOW
1.62
Today's traded flow rather than the standing position. It moves faster and means less.
Expected move (1-week)≈ $2.61
±13.9%
What the chain prices for the week. A range the market is charging for, not a forecast.
Largest open interest · front expiry
StrikeTypeOpen interest
$20.00CALL5,681
$22.00CALL4,307
$19.50PUT2,967
$20.00PUT2,390
$18.00PUT2,019
$23.00CALL1,949
Large call interest above the price acts as a magnet and a ceiling; large put interest below is a floor of hedges. The biggest strike is the level the market is most committed to defending into the next expiry.
Open interest by strikeexpires 2026-11-13CallsPutsMax pain $20.00
2k
$23.00
5711k
$22.50
5704k
$22.00
495568
$21.50
537554
$21.00
712311
$20.50
2096k
$20.00
2k689
$19.50
3k719
$19.00
2k0
$18.50
22556
$18.00
2k0
$17.50
7900
$17.00
56412
$16.00
2490
$15.50
11113
$15.00
39
The shaded row is the strike nearest the price. Heavy call interest above acts as a ceiling; heavy put interest below is a floor of hedges.
↑ 52-week high$43.77+133.3%The highest print of the past year.Old highs draw profit-taking on the first attempt.
↑ Call wall$20.00+6.6%Heaviest call open interest on the front expiry.Acts as a ceiling into expiry; a close above usually needs a catalyst.
◇ Max pain$20.00+6.6%Where most open options expire worthless.Price often drifts toward it into the close of the expiry week.
↓ 50-day average$24.00+27.9%The line the short-term trend is measured against.A close beneath it is the first structural warning.
↓ Put wall$14.00-25.4%Heaviest put open interest — a floor of hedges.Dealer buying tends to build as price approaches.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL 0
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 42%, short interest is 7.54% of float, and 2 analysts average $46.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
0BALANCED · 30d
2 bull / 1 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Analyst moves90D · TIMING
+1
3 price-target raises in 90d
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
-2
latest EPS missed by 171%
Sentiment1–30D · TIMING
+1
7d sentiment elevated (75/100)
Signal
2 bull / 1 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to 0 over 30d, a balanced reading. 3 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category readNov 8, 2026
Signal
3 of 4 families lean up.
Descriptive only — a decorrelated read of where the evidence agrees and conflicts, not a forecast and not advice. Patterns are condition lists, not outcome predictions, and are not yet validated to the proof bar. Dispersion of 0.50 means the disagreement is a genuine split.
Wall Street2 covering firms
Consensus rating2 ANALYSTS
Buy
100% buy · 0% hold · 0% sell, as a share of the 2 covering firms.
Mean price target+144%
$46
$34now $19$64
A $34–$64 spread across the panel. A twelve-month view, and a wide spread means real disagreement rather than a consensus.
Forward EPS estimateCONSENSUS
$0.70
What the panel expects the company to earn per share.
Recent analyst moves · last 90 days
FirmTargetDirectionRank
B. Riley Securities$34↑48/100
Cantor Fitzgerald$64↑46/100
B. Riley Securities$30↑48/100
Upgrades, downgrades and target changes from covering firms. A cluster of moves in one direction matters more than any single target; the rank is the firm's own credibility score, or a dash below the scoring floor.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipRETAIL-HEAVY
41.7%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
0.7%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)LIGHT
7.54%
Falling — shares short changed -1.7% over 30 days. A crowded short is fuel in both directions.
Free float99% OF SHARES
529.62M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)98th PCTILE
$699.53M/day
At this depth, position size is not a constraint for a retail account.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
Insider filings · Form 4
InsiderTradeAmountPlanTraded
Tsang Chi Keung · Director, Chief Executive OfficerAward vestnot on file—23 Oct
Tsang Chi Keung · Director, Chief Executive OfficerAward vestnot on file—30 Jun
Tsang Chi Keung · Director, Chief Executive OfficerTax withholding$16,930—30 Jun
Tsang Chi Keung · Director, Chief Executive OfficerAward vestnot on file—23 Jul
Tsang Chi Keung · Director, Chief Executive OfficerAward vestnot on file—30 Sep
Tsang Chi Keung · Director, Chief Executive OfficerTax withholding$34,200—30 Sep
Executives must file within two business days. Sales on pre-set 10b5-1 plans are scheduled months ahead and carry little signal; tax withholding, exercises and awards are compensation mechanics, not trades; the open-market lines are the ones to read.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNEWS
-1.26%
BMNR fell −1.26% since the last close, amid recent coverage: “BMNR May 2027 17.000 call (BMNR270521C00017000) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance UK” (Yahoo Finance UK).
News tone · 7-day—
75 / 100
Headline polarity over the window, scored from news articles. Above 60 leans positive, below 40 negative. Colour, not a signal.
Newswire · 49 stories
WhenHeadlineSourceTone
10h agoBMNR 261009 27.50C (BMNR261009C27500) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News - MoomooMoomoonot scored
22h agoBMNR Stock Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2030 – 2040: How High Can Bitmine Go If Ethereum Surges? - CoinpediaCoinpedianot scored
FriBMNR: SEC Form DEFA14A filed by BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc. - QuantisnowQuantisnownot scored
FriBMNR May 2027 17.000 call (BMNR270521C00017000) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance UKYahoo Finance UKnot scored
FriBitmine (BMNR) Falls 10.7% Over 24 Hours - bloomingbitbloomingbitnot scored
ThuBitcoin Breaks Below $76K, Wiping Out Over $1B Crypto Bets: MSTR, BMNR, CRCL, COIN Stocks Tumble Double Digits - Yahoo FinanceYahoo Financenot scored
ThuBitcoin Breaks Below $76K, Wiping Out Over $1B Crypto Bets: MSTR, BMNR, CRCL, COIN Stocks Tumble Double Digits - StocktwitsStocktwitsnot scored
ThuBitmine Owns 4.9% of All Ethereum. What Happens to ETH at 5%? - 24/7 Wall St.24/7 Wall St.not scored
Coverage published around the move, newest first. Nothing here measures causation — only the why-it-moved card above is matched to the tape by timestamp.
CongressSTOCK Act · 30–45d lag
Signal
Net buying.
5 of 6 disclosures are buys and 1 is a sale. Lawmakers disclose on a 30–45 day legal lag, so this describes what was done weeks ago, not what is being done now.
0517 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 3.70, 79% annual volatility, a -68% worst drawdown, and 2 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
Max drawdown
-67.6%IT CAN HALVE
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beta (vs the market)AMPLIFIES
3.70
Moves about 3.7× the market over the past year.
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
79%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Falling knife
Selling pressure63
Buying pressure0
Overheat0
State: falling_knife — Still breaking lower without consolidation — a fresh swing-low printed and no basing pattern has formed yet.
What votes againstNightly
MedEarningslatest EPS missed by 171%4 quarters · -2
Signal
1 of 9 factors vote against.
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company typeRouted as: Crypto-equity
Signal
Routed as Crypto-equity.
Failure modes are routed by company type, and the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are the validated ones. This name routes as Crypto-equity, so the 3 checks above are that cohort's, not a generic list.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Avoid score6-month distress
32.4%10.9× its cohort · financials
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this financials segment: 3.0%. This name reads 10.9× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
LowPosition sizeThe sizing model has not covered this name, so no defensible cap is published for it.Not scored
LowLottery-ticket behaviourNot scored for this name.Not scored
HighCash runwayAbout 10.9 quarters of cash at current burn ($880M cash against $322M a year of burn) - names in this bucket: 16.3% catastrophe rate within a year.Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+3.21% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
2 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 2 clear. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -68%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 79% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You want income
A 0.05% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You're already heavy in this market
A 3.70 beta means you would be stacking the same bet rather than spreading it.
You'd be buying into earnings
A report lands in 12 days, and the chain prices ±13.9% for the week.
Our track record17 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
42 logged
42 calls logged on this name, 17 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
0610-K disclosed linksCAPITAL MARKETS
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 2 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-42.4% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (tailwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
MSPeer$181.44-0.55%
GSPeer$865.82-0.36%
SCHWPeer$91.49-1.18%
IBKRPeer$75.82+4.25%
HOODPeer$80.91+3.21%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2025-06-05
Signal
1 of 3 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 2 DAYS
Inflation (CPI)
2026-11-10. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockOct 27, 2026
Initial jobless claimsUsually hurts when more people file for benefits than expected
More missed loan payments and less borrowing; lower rates also thin banks' margins.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +0.8% · A week later +2.3% · Two weeks later +1.0% · Rose on 32 of 70 report days
Across the last 70 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 12, 2025, BMNR moved +0.8% on average on the day and was 1.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Consumer sentiment (UMich) is due in 12 days.
Consumer sentiment (UMich)Usually helps when consumers feel better than expectedConfident consumers borrow more.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day 0.0% · A week later +17.3% · Two weeks later +3.2% · Rose on 9 of 16 report days
Across the last 16 Consumer sentiment (UMich) reports since Jun 26, 2025, BMNR moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 3.2% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Housing starts is due in 10 days.
Housing startsUsually helps when more homes are started than expectedMore mortgages get written.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day -1.2% · A week later -3.5% · Two weeks later +7.1% · Rose on 7 of 16 report days
Across the last 16 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2025, BMNR moved -1.2% on average on the day and was 7.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Industrial productionUsually helps when factory output comes in stronger than expected
Businesses borrow more when they are growing.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day -2.1% · A week later -1.5% · Two weeks later -5.2% · Rose on 5 of 16 report days
Across the last 16 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2025, BMNR moved -2.1% on average on the day and was 5.2% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually helps when job openings come in higher than expected
Employed people repay loans and borrow more; banks benefit.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day -0.4% · A week later +1.6% · Two weeks later -2.3% · Rose on 9 of 16 report days
Across the last 16 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2025, BMNR moved -0.4% on average on the day and was 2.3% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)Usually helps when hiring comes in stronger than expected
Employed people repay loans and borrow more; banks benefit.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +0.7% · A week later +3.2% · Two weeks later +0.8% · Rose on 9 of 16 report days
Across the last 16 Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) reports since Jul 6, 2025, BMNR moved +0.7% on average on the day and was 0.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Retail sales is due in 9 days.
Retail salesUsually helps when shoppers spend more than expectedMore card swipes and consumer borrowing when spending is strong.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day -2.1% · A week later -1.5% · Two weeks later -5.2% · Rose on 5 of 16 report days
Across the last 16 Retail sales reports since Jun 15, 2025, BMNR moved -2.1% on average on the day and was 5.2% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Unemployment rateUsually hurts when unemployment rises more than expected
More missed loan payments and less borrowing; lower rates also thin banks' margins.
Typical for the Financial Services sector
On the day +0.4% · A week later +3.3% · Two weeks later +2.6% · Rose on 8 of 15 report days
Across the last 15 Unemployment rate reports since Jul 6, 2025, BMNR moved +0.4% on average on the day and was 2.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections2 links · none confirmed
Direct connections · 2 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
CAN · Suppliersupplier+2.71%Rumored · manual
COIN · Partnerpartner-1.51%Rumored · manual
0 of 2 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.