AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) — $183.09 −0.41%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AVBpeers & supply-chain relationships

AVB fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 318.3K · Avg 1.03M
AVBAvalonBay Communities, Inc.$183.09-0.41%

STRIKE.

The entry triggers have lined up — the pullback you set the alert for. This is your entry.

4 of 6 entry triggers are firing at once, clearing the 4-of-6 screen rule.

QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
Entry conditions met — this is the setup.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$182.92
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$186–188
center $186.99 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.17
4.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~46% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.31× · 318.3K vs 1.03M avg
52-week range$160.10 – $209.86
Below high since 2015-30.1% · $263.09 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.5
Plan stop$174.44
Max pain$115.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.7 fires under 35 · fires near $176.92
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$183.09
$166.36 · -9.1%-9.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.5% · $191.26+4.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
41.7
fires under 35 · fires near $176.92
vs 50-day
$187.37
below the line
Bollinger
$184.41
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$190.22
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$182.92
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$170.00
OI strike below · fires near $170.75
MACD
-0.81
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.31×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.64
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 77 days
Next dividend
3.89% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed