Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) — Residential REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MAA fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.06M · 3-mo avg 1.03M

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA)

MAAMid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 1/100 · Nov 9
$118.80
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$125–126
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $125.78 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume3% above normal1.03× its 20-day average
Past year's range$113.95 – $144.41lowest to highest price
From its peak48.4% belowpeak $231.41, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.06 to 1$1.06 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$113.36the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)52.2fires under 35 · fires near $110.22
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit36.4× next year36.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 82%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 30.8×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
52.2
fires under 35 · fires near $110.22
vs 50-day
✓
$118.98
at the line
Bollinger
●
$113.92
no lower pierce · fires near $112.95
VWAP 20
●
$118.38
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $118.37
Entry level
✓
$118.80
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.62
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.03×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.72
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-03
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
5.13% yld
no ex-date on file