Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS) — $283.20 −0.00%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ESSpeers & supply-chain relationships

ESS fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 90.6K · Avg 477.8K
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.$283.200.00%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 8 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$281.79
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$285–288
center $286.52 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$9.29
3.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.19× · 90.6K vs 477.8K avg
52-week range$238.46 – $294.09
Below high since 2015-23.2% · $368.59 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$264.78
Max pain$260.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.3 fires under 35 · fires near $272.91
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$283.20
$243.99 · -13.8%-13.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.3% · $292.49+3.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
43.3
fires under 35 · fires near $272.91
vs 50-day
$286.65
below the line
Bollinger
$281.13
no lower pierce · fires near $280.51
VWAP 20
$290.79
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$281.79
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$250.00
OI strike below · fires near $251.10
MACD
-1.43
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.19×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
5.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.01
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
27 Oct 2026
· in 76 days
Next dividend
3.66% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed