Ascendis Pharma A/S (ASND) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ASND fair-value estimate

ASND earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 97.3K · 3-mo avg 655.0K

Ascendis Pharma A/S (ASND)

ASNDAscendis Pharma A/Sloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 44/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$237.84
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$252–258
center $255.07 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$14.82
6.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.58×
52-week range$186.05 – $282.15
Below high since 2015-15.3% · $282.15 high
Risk / reward0.48 : 1
Plan stop$215.29
Max pain$250.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.3 fires under 35 · fires near $235.39
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple27.9× fwd · 20.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past59th pctile · 27.3× median
Free cash flow yield0.3% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
38.3
fires under 35 · fires near $235.39
vs 50-day
$255.60
below the line
Bollinger
$238.03
no lower pierce · fires near $236.75
VWAP 20
$254.27
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$237.84
level below · fires near $240.15
Put wall
$250.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+1.32
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.58×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$11.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file