APA Corporation (APA) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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APA fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.07M · 3-mo avg 5.61M

APA Corporation (APA)

APAAPA Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$45.23
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$47–48
center $47.26 · basis · bb upper + high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.97×
52-week range$21.63 – $47.44
Below high since 2015-37.3% · $72.46 high
Risk / reward0.53 : 1
Plan stop$42.06
Max pain
RSI 1460.1 fires under 35 · fires near $36.23
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple10.4× fwd · 9.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past69th pctile · 6.1× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
60.1
fires under 35 · fires near $36.23
vs 50-day
$39.71
above the line · fires near $39.95
Bollinger
$41.02
no lower pierce · fires near $40.49
VWAP 20
$44.08
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $44.04
Entry level
$45.23
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.01
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.59
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 34 sessions
Next dividend
2.20% yld
no ex-date on file