Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMPH) — Specialty & Generic Pharma. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AMPH fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 370.9K · 3-mo avg 465.2K

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMPH)

AMPHAmphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$26.00
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$29–30
center $29.52 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.00
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.74×
52-week range$16.65 – $29.52
Below high since 2015-61.4% · $67.66 high
Risk / reward1.58 : 1
Plan stop$23.98
Max pain$22.50 options cluster
RSI 1476.0 overbought
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple7.8× fwd · 14.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past40th pctile · 14.9× median
Free cash flow yield11.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 42% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
76.0
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$21.80
above the line · fires near $21.91
Bollinger
●
$21.78
no lower pierce · fires near $21.62
VWAP 20
●
$23.82
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $23.82
Entry level
✓
$26.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$17.50
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context✓
+0.03
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.74×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
15.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.88
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file