Amgen Inc. (AMGN) — General Pharmaceutical. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AMGN fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.58M · 3-mo avg 2.79M

Amgen Inc. (AMGN)

AMGNAmgen Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 7 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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$457.28
near a support level · Nov 6
$473–480
near the top of its usual range, a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $476.35 · Nov 6
±$28.32
±6.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume9% below normal0.91× its 20-day average
Past year's range$312.39 – $483.99lowest to highest price
From its peak4.9% belowpeak $483.99, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.54 to 1$0.54 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$430.83the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$460.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.5fires under 35 · fires near $390.79
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.4× next year26.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 74%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 23.3×
Cash it generates3.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.5
fires under 35 · fires near $390.79
vs 50-day
●
$422.43
above the line · fires near $425.83
Bollinger
●
$410.92
no lower pierce · fires near $404.26
VWAP 20
●
$447.83
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $447.39
Entry level
✓
$457.28
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.03
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.91×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$13.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
USD 2.52
ex-date 2026-11-20