Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) — Airlines. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:02 PM ETVol 959.4K · 3-mo avg 3.19M

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 4 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$41.49
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$44–46
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $45.00 · Nov 9
±$3.53
±8.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume21% below normal0.79× its 20-day average
Past year's range$32.33 – $60.63lowest to highest price
From its peak58.8% belowpeak $101.23, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.60 to 1$0.60 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$35.64the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)62.4fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit90.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 82%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 26.9×
Cash it generates-8.1%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
62.4
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$38.75
above the line · fires near $39.04
Bollinger
●
$32.30
no lower pierce · fires near $32.00
VWAP 20
●
$36.04
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $36.03
Entry level
✓
$41.49
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.57
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.79×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
11.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-21
in 48 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file