American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AFGpeers & supply-chain relationships

AFG earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 685.8K · 3-mo avg 391.2K

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG)

AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$157.10
near a support level · Nov 9
$159–160
near the top of its usual range, a resistance level, the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $159.37 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Low
47% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume48% above normal1.48× its 20-day average
Past year's range$123.09 – $159.61lowest to highest price
From its peak1.1% belowpeak $159.61, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.19 to 1$0.19 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$149.97the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)69.4fires under 35 · fires near $138.58
Price vs. profit13.0× next year12.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 68%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 12.1×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 30% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
69.4
fires under 35 · fires near $138.58
vs 50-day
●
$144.52
above the line · fires near $145.68
Bollinger
●
$143.76
no lower pierce · fires near $142.69
VWAP 20
●
$151.88
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $151.78
Entry level
✓
$157.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.33
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.48×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 57 sessions
Next dividend
2.46% yld
no ex-date on file