American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 2:08 PM ETVol 283.1K · 3-mo avg 400.2K

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG)

AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 57/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$137.53
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$142–144
center $143.01 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$123.09 – $150.02
Below high since 2015-9.6% · $152.94 high
Risk / reward0.79 : 1
Plan stop$132.15
Max pain—
RSI 1434.2 washed out
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple11.4× fwd · 12.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past89th pctile · 12.1× median
Price / book2.38×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 68% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
34.2
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$142.97
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$138.49
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$142.12
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$137.53
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.49
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
2.55% yld
no ex-date on file