Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 904.9K · 3-mo avg 2.07M

Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK)

ADSKAutodesk, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+8net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$262.03
near a support level · Nov 9
$318–322
near the 52-week high · midpoint $320.00 · Nov 9
±$18.26
±7.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume12% below normal0.88× its 20-day average
Past year's range$185.50 – $320.00lowest to highest price
From its peak25.0% belowpeak $351.14, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk3.02 to 1$3.02 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$242.86the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$255.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)62.6fires under 35 · fires near $198.19
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.3× next year33.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 8%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 54.3×
Cash it generates4.3%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
62.6
fires under 35 · fires near $198.19
vs 50-day
●
$233.03
above the line · fires near $234.82
Bollinger
●
$227.52
no lower pierce · fires near $223.52
VWAP 20
●
$252.04
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $251.97
Entry level
✓
$262.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$255.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.88
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.59
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-24
in 10 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file