Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.20M · 3-mo avg 2.43M

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP)

ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionPCE inflation days · ~8% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 67/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$262.35
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$267–270
center $268.60 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$17.80
6.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.54×
52-week range$188.16 – $294.35
Below high since 2015-20.1% · $329.93 high
Risk / reward0.41 : 1
Plan stop$251.66
Max pain$270.00 options cluster
RSI 1441.2 fires under 35 · fires near $257.33
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple19.9× fwd · 24.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past11th pctile · 29.9× median
Free cash flow yield4.5% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
41.2
fires under 35 · fires near $257.33
vs 50-day
✓
$268.80
below the line
Bollinger
●
$258.33
no lower pierce · fires near $256.77
VWAP 20
✓
$272.62
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$262.35
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$275.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-1.50
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.54×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.35
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
2.58% yld
no ex-date on file