Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ADP fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 2:30 PM ETVol 606.7K · 3-mo avg 2.19M

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP)

ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$300.55
near a support level · Nov 9
$309–313
near the top of its usual range and the 52-week high · midpoint $310.98 · Nov 9
±$18.65
±6.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume67% below normal0.33× its 20-day average
Past year's range$188.16 – $310.98lowest to highest price
From its peak8.4% belowpeak $329.93, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.32 to 1$0.32 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$283.19the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$280.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)61.0fires under 35 · fires near $263.76
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit22.5× next year27.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 23%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 29.6×
Cash it generates3.9%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 37% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
61.0
fires under 35 · fires near $263.76
vs 50-day
●
$279.19
above the line · fires near $281.28
Bollinger
●
$276.56
no lower pierce · fires near $273.17
VWAP 20
●
$295.26
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $295.13
Entry level
●
$300.55
level below · fires near $303.50
Put wall
●
$280.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.24
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.33×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.68
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
2.23% yld
no ex-date on file