Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) — Communication Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 21.67M · 3-mo avg 10.61M

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI)

AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 100/100 · was 61 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$49.88
near a support level · Nov 6
$59–61
near a heavy call-option level · midpoint $60.00 · Nov 6
±$10.91
±21.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume58% above normal1.58× its 20-day average
Past year's range$18.50 – $233.67lowest to highest price
From its peak78.5% belowpeak $233.67, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.13 to 1$1.13 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$41.43the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$70.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)30.2washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.9× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Cash it generates-7.8%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 6.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 69% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
30.2
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$92.96
below the line
Bollinger
●
$47.16
no lower pierce · fires near $46.18
VWAP 20
✓
$71.42
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$49.88
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-2.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.58×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
20.2%
20.2% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$7.59
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file