Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 317.3K · 3-mo avg 578.9K

Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC)

WTFCWintrust Financial Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 29/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$145.38
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$148–150
center $149.04 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.89
5.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 6% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.59× the norm · 33% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 6% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.74×
52-week range$119.61 – $167.22
Below high since 2015-12.6% · $167.22 high
Risk / reward0.48 : 1
Plan stop$139.98
Max pain$150.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.7 fires under 35 · fires near $145.62
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.5× fwd · 11.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past36th pctile · 11.9× median
Price / book1.35×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
36.7
fires under 35 · fires near $145.62
vs 50-day
✓
$154.88
below the line
Bollinger
●
$143.30
no lower pierce · fires near $142.56
VWAP 20
✓
$149.63
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$145.38
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$150.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.37
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.74×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.70
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-19
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
1.51% yld
no ex-date on file