Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 11:30 AM ETVol 1.34M · 3-mo avg 3.32M

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG)

MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionInflation-report days · ~36% bigger swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 53/100 · Nov 9
$9.77
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$10–11
near the top of its usual range, a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $10.46 · Nov 9
±$0.85
±8.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
69% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume20% above normal1.20× its 20-day average
Past year's range$6.45 – $11.49lowest to highest price
From its peak14.5% belowpeak $11.49, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.80 to 1$0.80 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$9.21the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$10.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)46.4fires under 35 · fires near $9.42
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.1× next year13.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 68%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 10.6×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
46.4
fires under 35 · fires near $9.42
vs 50-day
✓
$10.51
below the line
Bollinger
●
$9.21
no lower pierce · fires near $9.09
VWAP 20
●
$9.77
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $9.76
Entry level
●
$9.77
level below · fires near $9.87
Put wall
✓
$10.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.01
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.20×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-13
in 3 sessions
Next dividend
1.82% yld
no ex-date on file