Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) — $10.44 −0.14%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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MFGpeers & supply-chain relationships

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 716.8K · Avg 3.81M
MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.$10.44-0.14%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.4× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$10.41
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$10.86
center $10.86 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.26
12.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~72% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.19× · 716.8K vs 3.81M avg
52-week range$5.40 – $10.44
Below high since 2015-3.7% · $10.86 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.8
Plan stop$9.87
Max pain$7.50 options cluster
RSI 1453.6 fires under 35 · fires near $9.04
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$10.44
$7.49 · -28.3%-28.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+12.0% · $11.70+12.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
53.6
fires under 35 · fires near $9.04
vs 50-day
$10.02
above the line · fires near $10.11
Bollinger
$9.83
no lower pierce · fires near $9.71
VWAP 20
$10.32
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $10.32
Entry level
$10.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$7.50
OI strike below · fires near $7.53
MACD
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.19×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.27
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Nov 2026
· in 92 days
Next dividend
1.72% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed