U.S. Bancorp (USB) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.36M · 3-mo avg 7.58M

U.S. Bancorp (USB)

USBU.S. Bancorploading…
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QTick signal
+10net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 11 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~26% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 26/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$59.03
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$62–63
center $62.63 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.44
4.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 56% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.82×
52-week range$45.02 – $66.08
Below high since 2015-10.2% · $66.08 high
Risk / reward1.01 : 1
Plan stop$56.05
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.2 fires under 35 · fires near $58.90
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple10.2× fwd · 11.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past46th pctile · 11.5× median
Price / book1.42×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
38.2
fires under 35 · fires near $58.90
vs 50-day
✓
$62.70
below the line
Bollinger
●
$58.10
no lower pierce · fires near $57.76
VWAP 20
✓
$61.12
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$59.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$55.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.39
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-15
in 14 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.52
ex-date 2026-09-30