U.S. Bancorp (USB) — $64.31 +0.19%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

USBpeers & supply-chain relationships

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 1.22M · Avg 8.96M
USBU.S. Bancorp$64.31+0.19%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+10net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 11 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$63.87
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$64.90
center $64.90 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.06
3.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~37% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.14× · 1.22M vs 8.96M avg
52-week range$43.96 – $65.02
Below high since 2015-1.3% · $65.02 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.4
Plan stop$61.50
Max pain$63.00 options cluster
RSI 1460.1 fires under 35 · fires near $58.99
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$64.31
$58.71 · -8.7%-8.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.2% · $66.37+3.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
60.1
fires under 35 · fires near $58.99
vs 50-day
$60.52
above the line · fires near $61.05
Bollinger
$62.36
no lower pierce · fires near $62.14
VWAP 20
$63.57
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $63.54
Entry level
$63.87
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$62.00
OI strike below · fires near $62.28
MACD
-0.18
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.14×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.12
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
15 Oct 2026
· in 64 days
Next dividend
3.23% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed