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WEST
NasdaqGM
bearOPERATING CO.judged on execution & valuation

Westrock Coffee Company ·

$8.16
-0.07 (-0.85%)
Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Mkt cap$796.64M
P/E · fwd · 45.3
Div yieldNone
Beta 1y0.74
Volume763.4K1.09× avg
52-wk range -19.9%3.5910
The five reads
At a glance the decision-relevant reads, first
GLOBAL TAPE
Overseas lean0.00%
FrankfurtV3J0.00%
Track record · free & ungated
We grade our price-band calls in public

Each forward price band is logged the day it's set and scored when it resolves — misses included. None have resolved yet, so there is no hit-rate to show. This builds in the open, not behind the paywall.

6
bands logged
0
resolved so far
Building
status
The calibration ledger stays free, always — a track record can't sit behind a paywall.

Price action

Price & quote

Live quote refreshed every 15 minutes against the full daily snapshot.

The readUnder pressurefact

Where the price sits inside today's range and its 52-week range, plus how it's performed over time. This is the raw quote — the same number everywhere, just faster.

Golden crossBroadening range50-day sits above the 200-day — bullish long-term structure.
2.34.97.510.112.6Broadening rangeDeath crossS · 8S · 8S · 7R · 8R · 9R · 9max pain 3
Drag or arrow-key the chart for daily OHLCV · 126 sessions through Aug 10, 2026 · prev close $8.23 (dashed)
Open
$8.06
Prev close
$8.23
Volume
763.4K
avg 703.3K
Rel. volume
1.09×
above normal
Market cap
$796.64M
Shares out
97.56M
float 27.89M
Day range
$8.01$8.47
52-week range
$3.59$10.19
-19.9% from high+127.3% above low

The QTick signal

QTick proprietary signal

A transparent point tally — bull evidence minus bear evidence — read over ~30 days. Faster factors time the swing; slower ones (quality, 13F, forensics) weigh in as longer-horizon context. A model-based prior, not advice.

~30-day swing read · graded vs S&Puncalibrated prior · track record buildingstrength is the tally magnitude, not a probability
Price-factor lean cohort-relative · momentum + low-vol
Price-factor lean — not shown at this market cap (these factors carry no validated edge above small-cap).
Where this is validated: survivorship-free factor study (micro/small caps only), |t|>3.2. Cohort-relative ranking, not a price forecast or buy/sell advice. Calibration tracked live.
-3
net · leaning
1 bull / 2 bear factors
Factor breakdown 8 factors · signed points sum to net -3
Analyst moves90d
Earnings4 quarters+1 pts
latest EPS beat by 42%
Insider flow120d
Estimate revisionsWeeks
Sentiment1–30d
Longer-horizon context weighs the read · not a 30-day timing call
Institutional (13F)Latest 13F
1 institutional holder(s) added/opened last quarter (demoted — validated negative IC, not scored (QUANT_SIGNAL.md))
Quality / valueTTM-2 pts
weak Piotroski F-score (2/9)
Filing forensicsLatest FY
filing forensics — an unquantified legal/regulatory contingency the company says it cannot estimate (demoted — settled NULL/wrong-signed, not scored (QTICK_FORMULA_AUDIT_2026_07.md))
Risk flagsDaily-2 pts
negative shareholder equity (liabilities exceed assets)
Net tally
-3
2 bull − 5 bear
Factors agreeing
1↑ 2↓
of 9 tracked
Read strength
leaning
30d horizon
Strongest factor
Quality / value
-2 pts
Model
QTick Engine
WEST track record
Building
0 of 6 resolved
Forensic flags filing red flags · backtested edge where shown
Revenue-timing languagerevenue-recognition timing language worth watching
Cannot-estimate contingencyan unquantified legal/regulatory contingency the company says it cannot estimate
Territory — competitor / supplier graph
KHCPeer-1.2%
GISPeer+1.0%
MKCPeer+0.3%
MKC-VPeer-1.2%
HRLPeer-1.3%

Where the reads agree

Cross-category read

A decorrelated view across the categories already scored elsewhere on this page — where they agree, where they conflict, and how lopsided the split is. Not a new signal, a different angle on ones that already exist.

Category reads n=4 categories voting
Eventleans up
Qualityleans down
Trendleans up
Riskleans down n=5
2 lean up, 2 lean down — modal read: bull.
Where they conflict
Trend leans up while Risk leans down.
Trend leans up while Quality leans down.
Event leans up while Risk leans down.
2 of 4 weighted reads lean the other way — minority weight share 41%.
Named patterns
Tape turning up while fundamentals/credit are still stressed.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Trend and positioning lean the same constructive way.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
High quality, solvent and trending.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Trend, crowded short positioning and option fuel.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Trend that is heavily rate/macro-driven.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Tape is deteriorating with risk flags lit.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Cheap, but low-quality and credit-stressed.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
In detail
A pattern, not a validated signal
This regroups categories the page already scores elsewhere into one cross-category view — it does not add a new tally. Descriptive only — a decorrelated read of where the evidence agrees and conflicts, not a forecast and not advice. Patterns are condition lists, not outcome predictions, and are not yet validated to the proof bar.
-3 net
leaning
1 bull / 2 bear factors

Red-Flag X-Ray

Accounting quality · red-flag scan

One integrity score (0–100) from a set of accounting checks that look for red flags. Higher is safer — and we show the checks it passed, not just the ones it failed.

40
/ 100
Integrity score
D
2 critical · 2 watch · 1 clear of 5 scored tests
1 clear2 watch2 critical
Test battery
!!
5 forensic tests · 1 passed clean · 2 flagged for watch
Critical
Bankruptcy distressZ 0.73
Altman-Z in the Distress
Clear
Earnings manipulationM -2.57
Likely clean
!Watch
LeverageD/E 1.55
debt-to-equity 1.55×
Critical
Profitability qualityF 2/9
Piotroski F-score 2 of 9
!Watch
Filing forensics2 flag(s)
2 filing red flag(s) on the latest 10-K
How we test · 7 forensic testsA clear result ships as openly as a flag — and the tests that don't fire are published in full. No survivorship bias.
Share dilution / SBC creepFires when shares outstanding rise materially or stock-based comp outpaces buybacks.
Distress (Altman-Z, negative equity)Fires on balance-sheet fragility. For banks we substitute regulatory capital (CET1).
Margin trajectoryFires on multi-quarter gross / operating margin erosion.
Going-concern languageNLP scan of filings for material-doubt or going-concern wording.
Filing timelinessFires on late / NT (non-timely) filings and restatements.
Insider selling into strengthFires on discretionary insider sells during price strength; 10b5-1 plans down-weighted.
Analyst-downgrade momentumFires on clusters of net downgrades and target cuts.

Odds & pullback risk

Setup & odds

Which way the next move is more likely to go — and how overstretched the price looks right now.

The readSkews downsidewhere it sitsuncalibrated prior · not a forecast

How the likely upside compares with the downside, and how stretched the price is — odds, not timing.

Upside vs downside · 12m
Upside 34.6%65% Downside
Skew favours downside · base rate 50/50
Historically, names tripping 3 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 65% of cases (n=620) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast. · n=620
Expected move · 1wk±—
Upside target$8.42 +3.2% · level, not a call
Invalidation / stop$7.95 -2.6% · level, not a call
Reward : risk1.2 : 1
BullClose above $8 opens continuation.
BaseChop between stop and target into the next catalyst.
BearA break of $8 invalidates the setup.
Pullback risk · experimental
LowElevatedHigh
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 85% of cases (n=11,772).
1.08×the segment norm — 85% saw a ≥10% pullback within 63dn=11,772 · observational
Resolved up vs down · 63d51% up · 49% down same historical group as the pullback read · 11,772 cases · flat outcomes count on neither side — a historical rate, not a call
Conditioned onneutral · mid vol · neg momentum the past setups matched against this one
  • 1.08× the mid unconditional rate
  • price is at the modeled bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met) — risk word capped at In line
  • tape state: neutral
In detail
How to read the odds
This is a historical rate, and an experimental one: across 25 years, stocks in the same state — same segment, same price phase, same volatility, same momentum — pulled back this often. The record is built from today's list of companies, so names that delisted along the way are missing and each stock's current segment is projected backward; the rates lean toward survivors until that rebuild lands. Compare the multiple against the segment rather than the bare percentage — recent years run higher than the full 25-year record. None of it predicts timing.
The structure under the price
Support band$7.02 – $8.12 -0.5% from spot · level, not a call
s1$7.95 basis
pivot low$7.73 basis
pivot low$7.26 basis
~68%of bands like this held 21 days after a touch — about the same as any comparable support level. Structure, not a prediction.n=40,800 · observational
Bottom confirmation2 of 6 signs in find-bottom score 14/100 — pinned to 0 until the checklist clears
Capitulation flush, then quietnot yet
Selling volume dried upnot yet
A higher low printednot yet
Back above the 20-day linenot yet
Momentum diverging upin
Heaviest volume on an up dayin
85%of confirmed bottoming reads still saw a ≥10% drawdown inside the next quarter (25-year study) — confirmation marks a turn forming, not safety.n=1,203 · observational

Trend & technical structure

Trend & technicals

The price chart's vital signs, in plain English. Expand any row for what it actually means for you.

The readUptrend intactwhere it sitsmoving-average posture · fact

Moving averages describe the direction; RSI and the bands describe how stretched the move is. Neither predicts the next one.

Average prices (the trend)
Price vs 200-day+42.9%
Momentum, bands & levels
In detail
The simple version
When price sits aboveits averages with momentum rising, the trend is healthy. When RSI is near the extremes or the price looks "stretched," the move is overdone and often takes a breather. Think of these as a weather report — conditions, not instructions.
Pattern outcomes · derived analysis

Do these patterns even work?

Derived · what patterns actually did

Every charting site detects the pattern. We publish what happened next — the forward win-rate and sample size at each horizon, including the famous patterns that historically meant nothing.

The readForward win-rates, with sample sizewhere it sits

How often each chart pattern was actually followed by a gain, and how many past cases that's based on — including famous ones that didn't work.

Each bar is the win-rate — how often the price was higher that many days after the pattern appeared. The line marks 50%, a coin flip: green beats it, red is worse than chance. Every bar is a platform-wide cohort base rateacross every stock that has shown this pattern (cohort record, not this ticker's own history alone).
Pattern10-day21-day63-day
DowntrendBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate46.9%n=1,231,607
forward win-rate47.2%n=577,208
forward win-rate47.4%n=182,081
slope -0.14 over 40 bars
Inverted hammerBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate49.8%n=86,335
forward win-rate49.0%n=40,404
forward win-rate49.0%n=12,860
long upper shadow, small body at bottom
Symmetrical triangleBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate46.1%n=294,213
forward win-rate46.2%n=138,095
forward win-rate45.9%n=43,877
converging highs & lows — breakout pending
Cup and handleBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate46.0%n=676,679
forward win-rate46.5%n=317,821
forward win-rate46.9%n=101,501
U-base + small handle pullback
Bollinger squeezeBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate43.2%n=736,993
forward win-rate44.4%n=345,291
forward win-rate46.9%n=109,950
bands at a multi-month tight — breakout pending
Snapshot as of 2026-08-11
In detail
Why we show you the losers
Famous reversal signals like a bullish engulfing have historically closed higher less than half the time at short horizons — below a coin flip. We publish the win-rate and the sample size on every cohort, so a 42-case base rate never masquerades as an 8,500-case one. Objective base rates, not forecasts.

Momentum & performance

Momentum / performance

Trailing returns and relative strength versus the benchmark.

The readLaggardwhere it sitsRS percentile vs market

How the stock has returned, and whether it's beating the market. A strong run shows recent leadership — leadership reverses without warning.

Trailing returns
1-month+9.8%
3-month-6.7%
6-month-30.0%
Year-to-date+91.1%
1-year-26.9%
12-1 momentum+11.6%
Relative strength vs S&P 500
44.8
RS-rank
percentile vs market
laggingleading
Relative strength line (β-adj)-6.16
In detail
What relative strength tells you
A rank of 44.8 means WEST has outpaced 44.8% of the market over the past year. That is what it has done, not a promise about what comes next — leadership can reverse without warning.

Risk profile

Risk

Volatility and sensitivity, regressed against SPY from adjusted bars — then the landmine check: what could actually go wrong here.

The readLow drawdown riskwhere it sitsvs the ADV-Q3 mid segment base rate · observational

Beta is how much it moves with the market; volatility and the worst drop show how rough the ride has been. Historical context, not a position-size rule.

10.7%6-month large-drawdown risk vs 8.7% for its segment
Low drawdown riskNames like this hit a large drawdown within 6 months at 1.2× the rate of the ADV-Q3 mid segment — observational, never a sell.
Beta · 1-year
0.74
less sensitive
Beta · 3-year
1.00
Realized vol · 30d
46.3%
annualized
Max drawdown · 1y
-46.9%
The drawdown read · 6-month, segment-graded
Where it sits1.2×
LowHigh
vs the ADV-Q3 mid segment base rate · observational
10.7%6-month large-drawdown risk, vs 8.7% for its segment
Max drawdown, trailing year-0.47 driver
Distance from 52-week high-0.20 driver
Parkinson range volatility0.62 driver
Log price (level)2.10 driver
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this ADV-Q3 mid segment: 8.7%. This name reads 1.2× that base rate.
Tape state & tail · nightly, adjusted bars
Neutral tape0/100
SettledKnifing
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
−12.4%a 1-in-200 day for this name — 1.2× what a normal curve expects
Cannot-estimate contingencyflagged
In detail
Reading risk
A beta of 0.74 means that, historically, a 1% move in the S&P has come with a ~0.74% move here. Realized vol ran 46% and the largest drawdown observed in the trailing year was 47% — both are what happened, not a bound on what can. The drawdown band above is observational — a risk sort against names of the same segment, blind to balance-sheet failures that never showed in the price.

Failure modes

Coverage
Data not available — failure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far (this name routes as growth)

Macro sensitivity

Coverage
Data not available.

Valuation

Valuation

Is the stock cheap or expensive? Each multiple is graded and explained in plain English.

The readLeans expensivewhere it sitsagainst its own 5-year range where we have it · standard bands otherwise

Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.

What you pay for earnings
P/E (trailing)Price ÷ last 12 months of profit; graded vs own 5y history when coveredn/an/a
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next year's expected profit45.3×Rich
PEG ratioValuation set against expected growth — lower can look cheaper, but one cutoff is not a verdictn/an/a
Earnings yieldProfit as a % of price, like a bond yieldn/a
Earnings yield − risk-freeEarnings yield minus the government-bond yield at the same daten/an/a
Dividend yieldAnnual indicated cash dividend as a % of price0.00%Income
What you pay for the business
Price / SalesPrice ÷ annual revenue; graded vs own 5y history when covered0.7×Fair
Price / BookPrice ÷ net assets on the books2.93×Fair
EV / EBITDAWhole-company value ÷ operating cash earnings91.8×Rich
EV / FCFWhole-company value ÷ positive free cash flown/an/a
Price / FCFPrice ÷ free cash flow generated-7.4×n.m.
FCF yieldFree cash flow as a % of market value-13.56%n.m.
P/E vs own 5yFive-year median 54.7×n/an/a
P/S vs own 5yFive-year median 0.7×35th pctFair
Peers today territory performance, for valuation context
KHCPeer-1.2%
GISPeer+1.0%
MKCPeer+0.3%
MKC-VPeer-1.2%
HRLPeer-1.3%

Fundamentals & quality

Fundamentals / quality

How good is the underlying business? Scale, profitability and balance-sheet strength, graded.

The readReturns below capital costwhere it sitsreturn on capital vs its estimated cost of funding

Scale, profitability and balance sheet, with industrial return on capital compared directly with its estimated funding cost.

Scale & growth
Revenue · TTMTotal sales over the last 12 months$1.28BScale
EPS · TTMProfit earned per shareProfit
Net marginCents of profit kept per $1 of sales-7.6%Weak
Revenue growthSales vs a year ago+39.8%Strong
EPS growthProfit-per-share vs a year agon/a
Margin trajectoryAre profit margins widening or shrinking?n/an/a
Returns & balance sheet
ROEProfit generated on shareholders' equity-33.3%Weak
ROICAfter-tax operating profit earned on the capital the business uses-4.1%Weak
WACCEstimated blended cost of debt and equity9.6%Hurdle
ROIC − WACCReturn on capital above or below its funding cost-13.7%Weak
Incremental ROIC · ~3yWhat the last three years of new investment has actually earned-16.8%Weak
Gross / Op marginProfitability before & after operating costs13% / -3%Weak
Free cash flowCash left after running & investing$-107.99MWeak
Cash self-fundingSelf-funding on trailing free cash flow, or months of cash left at the current burnRunway: 5 moCash
Debt / EquityGross borrowings vs equity — negative book equity is not gradeable2.14Weak
Current ratioCan it cover near-term bills? Over 1.5 is healthy0.96Weak
Total assets · YoYBalance-sheet growth — a fact, not a signal · grew faster than 57% of the measured cross-section · as of 2026-08-09+6.7%Fact
Last filed 2026-08-11

Inventory ledger

The stockroom
Data not available.

Segments & geography

Where the revenue lives
Data not available.
Credit & safety · derived analysis

Distance from insolvency

Derived · distance from default

Not the debt total — how far this company's asset value could fall before its debts get hard to cover, and how that distance ranks against its peers.

The readDistressedwhere it sitspercentile vs solvency universe

How far the company sits from real financial distress, plus how it ranks against peers — more than a debt total tells you.

0.30
σ to default
38.06%model-implied probability of default
Filing-forensics flags
1/4
SafeGreyDistress
Model-implied, not a credit rating.It estimates how far the company's assets would have to fall before it couldn't cover its debts, using a standard model (Merton). Higher is safer. (risk-free rate n/a, one-year horizon, asset volatility from )
Structural snapshot as of 2026-06-06
Distance-to-default band
distress · 0cautionsafe8σ+
Debt-service capacity
Interest coverage-0.8× operating income / absolute interest expense
Long-term debt / assets37.8% as filed; distinct from Merton D/V
In detail
How to read these two ratios
The credit engine uses the same stored thresholds shown here: coverage at or below 1× cannot cover interest, while 8× or more is its comfortable band; long-term debt at 10% of assets or less is its light band, while 60% or more is its heavy band. Missing XBRL tags stay n/a.
Altman solvency
Altman Z-Score0.7 Distress
In detail
Why a percentile, not a number
The absolute Z-Score is shown whenever its filing inputs exist. The cross-sectional percentile is a separate field and stays n/a until a current universe rank is on file.
Forensic accounting
1Validated forensic-accounting flag fired. Individual flag details are not carried by this endpoint.
Dilution radar · derived analysis

Are your shares being diluted?

Derived · ownership erosion

Raw share count is everywhere. The consequence — how fast the count is growing and where that ranks against peers — is the read that matters.

The readwhere it sitsdilution percentile vs peers

How fast the share count is changing versus peers, with stock compensation, issuance and repurchases shown separately when covered.

5-year share-count CAGR
The CAGR needs annual filings roughly five years apart that both carry a share count. This name's filing history on file does not span that window, so no rate is published — the buyback and stock-comp rows below are measured independently and still hold.
Most-dilutive percentile vs peers
LeastMedianMost
0percentile100
Peer percentile95th above median
Stock comp / revenuen/a not covered
Stock comp / OCFoperating cash flown/a not covered
Gross buyback yieldn/a TTM repurchases / market value
Net buyback yieldn/a TTM repurchases minus issuance / market value
Diluted / basic share gap0.0% latest fiscal-year per-share overhang proxy
SBC trendn/a up to five fiscal years
Shares outstanding · indexed 5y
Indexing needs an unbroken run of annual share counts across the same five-year window the CAGR uses. Where a year is missing — or the reported counts switch share class mid-series — the chart is withheld rather than drawn across the gap.

Analyst & estimates

Analyst & estimates

Consensus, price targets, forward estimates, and the company's recent results versus consensus.

The readwhere it sitswhere Wall Street sits · not QTick

Targets matter less than which way estimates are heading and how often the company beats them.

Consensus rating
Buy
4 analysts · score n/a/5
Strong buy 0%Buy 100%Hold 0%Sell 0%Strong sell 0%
12-month price target
low $9.00now $8.16high $10.00
Mean target$10.00 (+22.5%)
Forward estimates & revisions
Forward EPS consensus
Revision breadth · 30d
Revision momentum
Beat-rate · 8q
The consensus EPS level, the share of analysts raising, and the realised beat-rate all come from the same estimate capture, which does not cover this name. The rating, target band and street moves above are from a separate source and are current.
EPS surprise history
No reported-vs-estimate pairs on file for this name
Recent rating changes
Earnings bias · derived analysis

How this name behaves into the print

Earnings habit

The street's consensus-surprise habit — whether estimates run conservative or aggressive against what the company reports, not management's own guidance — the beat streak graded against names with the same profile, and what the tape does on good news.

The readMisses oftenwhere it sitsvalidated base rates · graded out-of-time

Whether the street sandbags this name, how often a beat streak like this persists (with its sample size), and what the tape does with good news.

40%of names with this beat profile beat againn=17,552 · observational
Consensus habit · trailing 8 quarters
Consensus-surprise habitnot management guidanceconsensus runs high for this name — it usually falls short n=8
Trailing beat rate13% beat ≤2 of the last 8 · n=8
40%of names that beat ≤2 of the last 8 went on to beat again — 0.64× the segment average (cohort record since 2000, not this stock alone)n=17,552 · observational
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
What the tape does with it
0%of the time it beat the estimate but fell anywayn=15 · observational
13%of the time it missed the estimate but rose anywayn=15 · observational
Avg reaction on a beat+39.8% n=1
Avg reaction on a miss-47.5% n=14
undetermined — needs ≥4 measured beats
Earnings-day move · typical±60.7% p90 ±60.7% · worst ±60.7% (2026-03-10) · n=15
Implied vs realized move6.25× options overpriced the event · n=1
In detail
How to read the habit
This is a historical rate: among companies with the same recent beat record, that share beat again. It was checked on later periods than the ones it learned from, and against the plain long-run average. It describes the group, not this specific report.

Ownership & positioning

Ownership

Who holds it, how options lean, and the most recent insider, congressional and 13F transactions.

The readFunds reducingwhere it sitspositioning band · not a vote

Who owns it and what insiders and big funds are doing. Steady buying reads positive; heavy selling reads cautious.

Holders
Institutional45.0%
Insider54.6%
Institutional flowFunds reducing
Fund concentration
Activist stakelatest Schedule 13D block on fileRiverview Sponsor Partners, LLC (13D/A, 2023-08-31)
Insider & short
Insider 90d net
10b5-1 vs discretionaryscheduledMostly programmatic
Short interest · %float14.2%
Short interest · 30d Δ
Options positioning
Put/call · OI
Put/call · volume
Implied movenext exp.±10.8%
IV skew (25Δ)
In detail
Reading the positioning
Institutions have begun trimming.
Recent transactions Form 4 + congressional
FilerSourceActionValueDate
FORD SCOTT TDirector, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, 10% ownerInsiderSell012 Jun
FORD JOE TDirectorInsiderSell012 Jun
Harvey Larry KeithSVP - CHIEF LEGAL OFFICERInsiderSell009 Jun
Harvey Larry KeithSVP - CHIEF LEGAL OFFICERInsiderSell009 Jun
Tabor A WellfordDirectorInsiderSell008 Jun
13F filers · last quarter
Renaissance TechnologiesAdded+0.0M sh · $0M
Institutional flow · derived analysis

Conviction weighting, not a transaction list

Derived · who's actually buying

Insider buys are weighted by how senior the buyer is and whether several bought at once, alongside how fast big funds moved in or out quarter to quarter.

The readContinuing holders trimmingwhere it sitscontinuing holders only — excludes new and exited funds

Insider buys, weighted by how senior the buyer is and whether several buy at once — plus how fast big funds are moving in or out.

How strong the insider buying is
Clustered exec buys · 90d5.2 / 18.44
018.44
Intensity index — explicitly not a probability
Distinct exec buyers
0/3
Buy clusters · last 90d
90d agotoday
Fund holders · quarter on quarter
+13new fundsexited−33
Net registered funds -20 this quarter
Continuing holdersTrimming on balance funds that held through both quarters
In detail
Reading the flow
No clustered executive buying this window. Among funds that held the name through both quarters, more trimmed than added. Separately, the registered-holder count moved -20 quarter-over-quarter (13 new, 33 exited). The two count different populations, so they can point opposite ways. Conviction is intensity, not a forecast.

Options microstructure

Options microstructure

Computed over the stored full chain — where dealer hedging concentrates. Prices here are the chain snapshot's own, not the header quote.

The readwhere it sitswhere options exposure sits

The busiest option strikes are where hedging is concentrated, which can slow or sharpen a move nearby. Context — not support and resistance.

Open-interest by strike · gamma walls
Puts OI (k)Calls OI (k)
0
10
0
0
9
0
0
8
0
0
7
0
0
6
0
0
5
0
0
4
0
WALL212
3
0
30
2
0
0
1
0WALL
chain spot $8.50 max pain $3 (-64.7%)
Dealer regime & expected move
Gamma exposure (GEX)
n/a
Max pain$3.00 (-64.7%)
Put/call · OI
Call wall$1.00 resistance
Put wall$3.00 support
Expected move · session±—
Expected move · week±—
Gamma map · derived analysis

Where dealer hedging concentrates

Derived · dealer hedging · marquee

Open interest is free everywhere. What it does — whether dealer hedging dampens or amplifies a 1% move, and the strikes where that hedging concentrates — is the derived read.

The readwhere it sitswhere dealer hedging sits

Whether dealer hedging leans toward steadying the price or sharpening the next move, and the strikes where that hedging is concentrated.

Support / resistance rails
Dealer wall positioning isn't available for this name yet.
Dealer regime
Long gamma — hedging can steady moves
Net dealer gamma per 1% move
ATM implied vol
Expected move · 1d±—
Expected move · 1w±—
OTM IV skew (25Δ)
In detail
Reading the gamma map
Dealers are long gamma, so their hedging leans against moves. The call- and put-side concentrations do not form an ordered interval in this snapshot, so no support or resistance level is read off them here. Net gamma of is the dollar hedging effect per 1% move — the consequence a raw chain never tells you.
From QTickOur track recordEvery call we've resolved, misses included →

Peers & supply chain

Territory · peers & supply chain

The names in this stock's orbit — how each is trading today, and how they wire together as suppliers, customers and competitors.

The readMoving with groupfact

How nearby companies are trading. Moving with them is a sector story; breaking away is specific to this stock.

TickerRelationshipTodayRelative move
WESTThis stock-0.85%
KHCPeer-1.20%
GISPeer+1.00%
MKCPeer+0.32%
MKC-VPeer-1.21%
HRLPeer-1.28%
In detail
Moving with the group
WEST is tracking the group (peer avg -0.47% today) — this is a sector move, not a single-name one.
Supply map how the territory wires together
WEST-0.85%the stock
suppliercustomercompetitor

Customer momentum

The customer chain
Data not available.

News & market context

The Story · news & social

Coverage published around the move, with the crowd's mood shown next to each.

The readCrowd mixedfactread as contrarian context

What moved the stock, plus how bullish the crowd is — which tends to be loudest right at the turning points.

Latest headlines 00▼ of 47
News
WEST fell −0.85% in the premarket session, amid recent coverage: “Empowered Funds LLC Has $728,000 Stock Position in East West Bancorp, Inc. $EWBC - MarketBeat” (MarketBeat).
Why it moved-0.85%·2026-08-11·source
Neutral
Stephens Group LLC Cuts Stock Position in Westrock Coffee Company $WEST - MarketBeat
NEWSMarketBeat·2h ago
Neutral
Empowered Funds LLC Has $728,000 Stock Position in East West Bancorp, Inc. $EWBC - MarketBeat
NEWSMarketBeat·6h ago
Neutral
West Bancorporation (NASDAQ:WTBA) Stock Price Crosses Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Here's Why - MarketBeat
NEWSMarketBeat·7h ago
Neutral
Community West Bancshares (NASDAQ:CWBC) Director Acquires $118,677.60 in Stock - MarketBeat
NEWSMarketBeat·16h ago
Headline tone
38/100 · 7-day
flat
Polarity of the headlines themselves, scored 0-100 with 50 neutral — a read on the coverage, not on the crowd.
Social sentiment
No Reddit or StockTwits posts on file for this name in the last 7 days.
Risk case · derived analysis

The risk case

The case against

What can break: how hard this name has fallen before, a sensible position cap, whether it behaves like a lottery ticket, how much cash it has left, how it drifts after earnings, whether the dividend holds, and what changed in the filings — plus a crowding read when its three inputs agree.

The readCoverage incompletewhere it sitsan experimental model estimate · the history-based reads below are graded separately

The case against the stock: how hard it has fallen before, how much cash it has left, how it behaves after earnings, whether the dividend holds, what changed in the filings, and how crowded the trade is.

Avoid score · v2.1 isotonic model · experimental
The nightly batch has not scored this name yet — the model needs universe-wide ranking features that are not computed on demand.
Terminal fate · the cohort's ledger
Of 4640 small names tracked 2016-2026, 4.7% were delisted for cause within 24 months and 9.2% were acquired — historical frequencies for the cohort, not a forecast for this name.
Cohortsmall 2016-2026
12m outcomesfor-cause 1.8% [1.6%–2.0%] acquired 4.8% [4.5%–5.1%] · still listed 93.2% · n=4857
24m outcomesfor-cause 4.7% [4.2%–5.1%] acquired 9.2% [8.6%–9.8%] · still listed 85.5% · n=4640
36m outcomesfor-cause 7.0% [6.4%–7.6%] acquired 13.4% [12.5%–14.3%] · still listed 78.8% · n=4480
In detail
Reading the fate ledger
Each row is what happened to every tracked name in this size cohort over that window — delisted for cause, acquired, or still listed — with the band around each rate. These are the cohort's historical frequencies, not probabilities for this name, and the acquisition arm is never an acquisition forecast.
Max defensible position size
2.2%max defensible size 2.2% - tail bindsn=92,785 · observational
Segmentmid routing cohort
Vol tercilemid realized vol bucket
Momentum signneg trailing return direction
Half-Kelly27.2% Kelly criterion / 2
Tail cap2.2% VaR / CVaR limit
Cat cap54.6% catastrophe-rate limit
Binding constrainttail
Lottery profile
No lottery signal — trailing-21d max daily return is within the normal range for its cohort (mid).
Cash runway · burn-rate graded
Cash runway1.9q quarters at current burn rate
About 1.8 quarters of cash at current burn - names in this bucket: 28.6% catastrophe rate within a year.
28.6%catastrophe rate within 12m for burners with <=2q runwayn=72,878 · observational
Median 12m forward-7.3% median outcome for this runway bucket — not mean
Cash on hand$49.88M latest reported
Annual FCF$-107.99M trailing 12-month free cash flow
Post-earnings drift · reaction vs sigma
+3.21% spread63-trading-day post-earnings drift, graded by reaction magnitude (bucket: z<1)
Drift odds at full strength (+3.21% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).
Latest earnings reaction+1.7% 2026-08-06
Daily sigma (21d)2.92% baseline volatility used for z-score
Reaction sizez<1 first-day move ÷ its normal daily move
Strength of evidence7.46 Newey–West t — how consistent the pattern is, not how many cases
In detail
How post-earnings drift works
After an earnings reaction, how far price keeps drifting over the next 63 trading days depends on how big the first move was. A jump more than four times the stock's normal daily move usually spends the effect — the market has already repriced it. Milder reactions historically kept drifting, by about 3.2 percentage points in our sample.
Dividend reliability
No dividend on file — trap / covered classification does not apply.
Filing restatements
No material restatement on file in the trailing 2 years.

Calibration scorecard

Auditable track record

Every rating we publish is fingerprinted, tracked, and resolved in public. Here's how we've actually done.

6
calls logged
track record builds as calls resolve (0/8)
Resolved
0
awaiting first results
Open calls
6
tracked, unresolved
WEST track record
building
published once resolved