Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) — Trucking & Freight. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WERN fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 195.0K · 3-mo avg 1.09M

Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN)

WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 43/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$35.73
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$39.89
center $39.89 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.43
12.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 11% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.96×
52-week range$23.06 – $47.49
Below high since 2015-29.3% · $50.76 high
Risk / reward1.44 : 1
Plan stop$32.84
Max pain$35.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.7 fires under 35 · fires near $34.90
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple16.4× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-3.2% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
36.7
fires under 35 · fires near $34.90
vs 50-day
$39.66
below the line
Bollinger
$36.05
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$38.01
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$35.73
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$25.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.19
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.45
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.14
ex-date 2026-10-05