Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 52/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$174.46
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$189–193
center $190.76 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$12.27
7.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 13% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 13% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.31×
52-week range$121.48 – $232.05
Below high since 2015-24.4% · $232.05 high
Risk / reward1.13 : 1
Plan stop$160.05
Max pain$190.00 options cluster
RSI 1431.9 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple27.8× fwd · 53.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past72nd pctile · 41.0× median
Free cash flow yield1.6% · of market value
Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.
Entry strategy · 10 triggers
5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
Momentum gauge, 0–100. A low reading describes losses dominating recent gains; it does not predict a reversal. Recomputed at the what-if price from the served daily tape.
RSI 14
✓
31.9
washed out
vs 50-day
The average close across 50 sessions. Trading at or below it describes price location versus the recent trend; it is not evidence that buyers will defend the line.
vs 50-day
✓
$198.80
below the line
Bollinger
A 20-session volatility envelope. A lower-band pierce describes an unusually low price relative to that recent distribution; it does not guarantee mean reversion. The band re-forms around the what-if price.
Bollinger
✓
$173.76
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
A 20-session rolling VWAP approximated from daily typical price and volume, not an intraday session anchor. Being below it is a price-location descriptor, not a forecast.
VWAP 20
✓
$186.71
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
The entry reference published by the audited level composer from the stock's support zone. It is a model level, not an instruction or guaranteed floor.
Entry level
✓
$174.46
within 1% of model level
Put wall
The strike with the largest put open interest in the stored chain snapshot. It is an options-positioning reference, not verified price support.
Put wall
●
$170.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Momentum-shift gauge shown as context, not part of the alignment rule. Recomputed at the what-if price when the served daily tape is usable.
MACD
Context●
-0.72
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVol
Volume so far today, projected to a full session, against this name's own average over the last 20 sessions. Above about 1.5x is unusually active for this name and below about 0.7x unusually quiet; heavy volume says a lot of shares changed hands, never which way the next move goes. A hypothetical price cannot create volume, so this tile holds steady as the slider moves.
RVolStatic
1.31×
in line with its own normal
Short int.
Shares sold short as a percentage of float. The 20% threshold is a crowding descriptor, not a forecast of a squeeze. This value updates on the reporting cadence.
Short int.Static
6.1%
short interest below 20%
ATR
Average true range describes the stock's recent daily price range. It is informational and does not enter the alignment count.
ATRStatic
$7.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.