Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) — Trucking & Freight. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ODFL fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.57M · 3-mo avg 1.84M

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)

ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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$164.10
near a support level · Nov 6
$179–182
near a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $180.62 · Nov 6
±$11.18
±6.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume23% above normal1.23× its 20-day average
Past year's range$126.01 – $252.03lowest to highest price
From its peak34.6% belowpeak $252.03, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.01 to 1$1.01 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$149.42the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$185.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)33.0washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit24.4× next year29.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 33%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 32.4×
Cash it generates2.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 3.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
33.0
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$180.80
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$166.79
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$179.88
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$164.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$195.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-1.43
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.23×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.34
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-02-03
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.29
ex-date 2026-12-02