Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.11M · 3-mo avg 1.05M

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL)

WALWestern Alliance Bancorporationloading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 26/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$77.22
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$80–81
center $80.29 · basis · round + sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.92
5.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 56% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.99×
52-week range$65.82 – $97.23
Below high since 2015-38.5% · $126.22 high
Risk / reward0.55 : 1
Plan stop$72.77
Max pain$82.50 options cluster
RSI 1444.7 fires under 35 · fires near $75.31
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple6.9× fwd · 8.8× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / book1.11×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.7
fires under 35 · fires near $75.31
vs 50-day
✓
$80.13
below the line
Bollinger
●
$75.99
no lower pierce · fires near $75.60
VWAP 20
✓
$78.67
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$77.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$82.50
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.20
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.99×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
2.16% yld
no ex-date on file