Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.62M · 3-mo avg 6.76M

Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

VLYValley National Bancorploading…
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QTick signal
+7net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$14.01
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$15.06
near the top of its usual range, the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $15.06 · Nov 6
±$0.02
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
57% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume19% above normal1.19× its 20-day average
Past year's range$10.34 – $15.20lowest to highest price
From its peak7.5% belowpeak $15.22, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.69 to 1$0.69 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$13.19the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$11.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)61.7fires under 35 · fires near $12.30
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.4× next year11.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 31%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 12.2×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 42% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
61.7
fires under 35 · fires near $12.30
vs 50-day
●
$13.39
above the line · fires near $13.49
Bollinger
●
$12.08
no lower pierce · fires near $11.78
VWAP 20
●
$13.63
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $13.61
Entry level
●
$14.01
level below · fires near $14.13
Put wall
●
$11.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+0.21
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.19×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.41
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.11
ex-date 2026-12-15