Valley National Bancorp (VLY) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.44M · 3-mo avg 6.55M

Valley National Bancorp (VLY)

VLYValley National Bancorploading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 46/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$13.01
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$14.08
center $14.08 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.65
5.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 56% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.82×
52-week range$9.64 – $15.20
Below high since 2015-14.1% · $15.22 high
Risk / reward1.38 : 1
Plan stop$12.36
Max pain$14.00 options cluster
RSI 1435.4 fires under 35 · fires near $13.06
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.5× fwd · 11.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past29th pctile · 12.3× median
Price / book0.93×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
35.4
fires under 35 · fires near $13.06
vs 50-day
✓
$14.06
below the line
Bollinger
●
$12.93
no lower pierce · fires near $12.88
VWAP 20
✓
$13.53
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$13.01
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$13.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.05
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
3.36% yld
no ex-date on file