Textron Inc. (TXT) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TXTpeers & supply-chain relationships

TXT fair-value estimate

TXT earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.91M · 3-mo avg 1.74M

Textron Inc. (TXT)

TXTTextron Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$84.98
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$101–102
near the 52-week high · midpoint $101.50 · Nov 9
±$0.05
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume7% above normal1.07× its 20-day average
Past year's range$71.87 – $101.57lowest to highest price
From its peak15.9% belowpeak $101.57, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.42 to 1$2.42 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$78.76the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$97.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.8fires under 35 · fires near $71.64
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit11.8× next year15.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 7%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 17.2×
Cash it generates6.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 43% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.8
fires under 35 · fires near $71.64
vs 50-day
●
$78.99
above the line · fires near $79.64
Bollinger
●
$70.56
no lower pierce · fires near $68.76
VWAP 20
●
$81.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $81.57
Entry level
✓
$84.98
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$95.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+0.63
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.07×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 53 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.02
ex-date 2026-12-11