Ternium S.A. (TX) — Steel Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TXpeers & supply-chain relationships

TX earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 954.6K · 3-mo avg 518.8K

Ternium S.A. (TX)

TXTernium S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 88/100 · was 12 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$48.91
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$55–56
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $55.69 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 12% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 12% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume67% above normal1.67× its 20-day average
Past year's range$35.12 – $60.21lowest to highest price
From its peak18.4% belowpeak $60.21, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.48 to 1$1.48 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$44.74the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)29.9oversold
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit5.7× next year9.8× last 12 months
Cash it generates-1.9%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$55.91
below the line
Bollinger
●
$48.54
no lower pierce · fires near $48.32
VWAP 20
✓
$54.04
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$48.91
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.79
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.67×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.09
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 68 sessions
Next dividend
3.66% yld
no ex-date on file