Ternium S.A. (TX) — Steel Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TXpeers & supply-chain relationships

TX fair-value estimate

TX earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 1:51 PM ETVol 153.2K · 3-mo avg 591.4K

Ternium S.A. (TX)

TXTernium S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$57.80
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 1.9% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$58–59
center $58.82 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.98×
52-week range$33.01 – $58.73
Below high since 2015-1.7% · $59.12 high
Risk / reward0.30 : 1
Plan stop$54.39
Max pain
RSI 1464.3 fires under 35 · fires near $47.58
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple7.4× fwd · 15.7× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-1.7% · burning cash

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 28% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
64.3
fires under 35 · fires near $47.58
vs 50-day
$52.16
above the line · fires near $52.57
Bollinger
$53.81
no lower pierce · fires near $53.27
VWAP 20
$56.36
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $56.32
Entry level
$57.80
below the model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.28
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.98×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.45
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
3.88% yld
no ex-date on file