ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) — Steel Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MTpeers & supply-chain relationships

MT fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.34M · 3-mo avg 1.36M

ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT)

MTArcelorMittal S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~13% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 1/100 · Nov 6
$60.68
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$64–65
near the top of its usual range and the 200-day average · midpoint $64.09 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 9% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 9% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volumenormal1.00× its 20-day average
Past year's range$38.67 – $79.68lowest to highest price
From its peak23.5% belowpeak $79.68, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.67 to 1$0.67 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$56.31the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)43.7fires under 35 · fires near $57.16
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit44.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 14.8×
Cash it generates1.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
43.7
fires under 35 · fires near $57.16
vs 50-day
✓
$67.34
below the line
Bollinger
●
$58.79
no lower pierce · fires near $58.30
VWAP 20
✓
$61.50
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$60.68
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.36
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.00×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.18
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 60 sessions
Next dividend
0.98% yld
no ex-date on file