Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) — Steel Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

STLDpeers & supply-chain relationships

STLD fair-value estimate

STLD earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 652.5K · 3-mo avg 1.23M

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD)

STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~5% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$244.12
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 4.6% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$286–290
center $288.09 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$18.95
8.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 82% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$134.87 – $288.74
Below high since 2015-15.0% · $288.74 high
Risk / reward2.81 : 1
Plan stop$228.45
Max pain$210.00 options cluster
RSI 1453.8 fires under 35 · fires near $188.45
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.5× fwd · 22.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past87th pctile · 8.5× median
Free cash flow yield1.5% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 5.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
53.8
fires under 35 · fires near $188.45
vs 50-day
$243.53
below the line
Bollinger
$223.52
no lower pierce · fires near $221.41
VWAP 20
$235.53
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$244.12
below the model level
Put wall
$220.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.76
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.84
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-19
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.53
ex-date 2026-09-30