Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 70/100 · was 17 on Sep 13 · as of 2026-09-181/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$37.50
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$39–40
center $39.36 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.98× the norm · 78% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.10×
52-week range$33.44 – $45.06
Below high since 2015-21.7% · $48.10 high
Risk / reward1.00 : 1
Plan stop$35.64
Max pain—
RSI 1435.2 fires under 35 · fires near $37.38
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple29.4× trailing · forward n.m., a loss is expected
P/E vs its own past50th pctile · 30.8× median
Price / booknot on file
Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 76% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.
Entry strategy · 10 triggers
3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
Momentum gauge, 0–100. A low reading describes losses dominating recent gains; it does not predict a reversal. Recomputed at the what-if price from the served daily tape.
RSI 14
●
35.2
fires under 35 · fires near $37.38
vs 50-day
The average close across 50 sessions. Trading at or below it describes price location versus the recent trend; it is not evidence that buyers will defend the line.
vs 50-day
✓
$39.46
below the line
Bollinger
A 20-session volatility envelope. A lower-band pierce describes an unusually low price relative to that recent distribution; it does not guarantee mean reversion. The band re-forms around the what-if price.
Bollinger
●
$36.91
no lower pierce · fires near $36.75
VWAP 20
A 20-session rolling VWAP approximated from daily typical price and volume, not an intraday session anchor. Being below it is a price-location descriptor, not a forecast.
VWAP 20
✓
$39.66
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
The entry reference published by the audited level composer from the stock's support zone. It is a model level, not an instruction or guaranteed floor.
Entry level
✓
$37.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
The strike with the largest put open interest in the stored chain snapshot. It is an options-positioning reference, not verified price support.
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Momentum-shift gauge shown as context, not part of the alignment rule. Recomputed at the what-if price when the served daily tape is usable.
MACD
Context●
-0.27
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVol
Volume so far today, projected to a full session, against this name's own average over the last 20 sessions. Above about 1.5x is unusually active for this name and below about 0.7x unusually quiet; heavy volume says a lot of shares changed hands, never which way the next move goes. A hypothetical price cannot create volume, so this tile holds steady as the slider moves.
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.
Shares sold short as a percentage of float. The 20% threshold is a crowding descriptor, not a forecast of a squeeze. This value updates on the reporting cadence.
Short int.Static
10.4%
short interest below 20%
ATR
Average true range describes the stock's recent daily price range. It is informational and does not enter the alignment count.
ATRStatic
$0.93
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.