Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) — Confectionery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MDLZpeers & supply-chain relationships

MDLZ fair-value estimate

MDLZ earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.68M · 3-mo avg 8.82M

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

MDLZMondelez International, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionPCE inflation days · ~31% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 2/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$61.73
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$66–67
center $66.65 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.21
3.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.08×
52-week range$51.20 – $66.65
Below high since 2015-21.3% · $78.80 high
Risk / reward1.71 : 1
Plan stop$59.35
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.1 fires under 35 · fires near $59.57
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple18.5× fwd · 22.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past98th pctile · 22.1× median
Free cash flow yield4.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
48.1
fires under 35 · fires near $59.57
vs 50-day
$61.92
at the line
Bollinger
$60.72
no lower pierce · fires near $60.39
VWAP 20
$62.51
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$61.73
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$55.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.06
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.08×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.50
ex-date 2026-09-30