Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) — Confectionery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MDLZpeers & supply-chain relationships

MDLZ fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.22M · 3-mo avg 7.73M

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

MDLZMondelez International, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$65.69
near a support level · Nov 6
$67–68
near the top of its usual range, a heavy call-option level and a resistance level · midpoint $67.10 · Nov 6
±$7.68
±11.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume13% below normal0.87× its 20-day average
Past year's range$51.20 – $68.75lowest to highest price
From its peak16.2% belowpeak $78.80, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.28 to 1$0.28 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$62.22the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$62.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)59.7fires under 35 · fires near $55.85
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit19.6× next year20.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 28%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 22.5×
Cash it generates3.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.7
fires under 35 · fires near $55.85
vs 50-day
●
$61.84
above the line · fires near $62.37
Bollinger
●
$60.47
no lower pierce · fires near $59.83
VWAP 20
●
$64.21
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $64.19
Entry level
✓
$65.69
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$66.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+0.31
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.87×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
3.15% yld
no ex-date on file