The Hershey Company (HSY) — Confectionery. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HSYpeers & supply-chain relationships

HSY fair-value estimate

HSY earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.75M · 3-mo avg 1.49M

The Hershey Company (HSY)

HSYThe Hershey Companyloading…
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QTick signal
-3net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$175.69
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$234–237
near the 52-week high · midpoint $235.80 · Nov 6
±$10.20
±5.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume50% above normal1.50× its 20-day average
Past year's range$156.16 – $239.48lowest to highest price
From its peak35.7% belowpeak $276.84, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk3.90 to 1$3.90 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$163.27the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$175.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)61.5fires under 35 · fires near $146.24
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.8× next year20.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 17%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 25.3×
Cash it generates4.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
61.5
fires under 35 · fires near $146.24
vs 50-day
●
$168.46
above the line · fires near $169.97
Bollinger
●
$158.97
no lower pierce · fires near $157.80
VWAP 20
●
$168.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $168.55
Entry level
●
$175.69
level below · fires near $177.27
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.42
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.50×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.52
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 60 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.45
ex-date 2026-11-16