Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) — Telecommunication Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TKC fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.09M · 3-mo avg 2.23M

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC)

TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 12/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$5.14
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$5.35
center $5.35 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.49
9.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.45×
52-week range$4.90 – $7.18
Below high since 2015-69.1% · $16.72 high
Risk / reward0.49 : 1
Plan stop$4.80
Max pain$5.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.9 fires under 35 · fires near $4.92
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.5× fwd · 11.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past1st pctile · 11.1× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
45.9
fires under 35 · fires near $4.92
vs 50-day
✓
$5.37
below the line
Bollinger
●
$4.93
no lower pierce · fires near $4.88
VWAP 20
●
$5.10
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $5.10
Entry level
✓
$5.14
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$5.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.01
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.45×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.13
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-12
in 35 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.06
ex-date 2026-12-10
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