TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL) — Regional Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 550.3K · 3-mo avg 857.8K

TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL)

TFSLTFS Financial Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 5/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$16.64
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$17.39
center $17.39 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.76
4.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.59× the norm · 33% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.77×
52-week range$12.54 – $19.49
Below high since 2015-28.3% · $23.32 high
Risk / reward0.69 : 1
Plan stop$15.75
Max pain$15.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.8 fires under 35 · fires near $16.38
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple42.6× fwd · 46.1× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / book2.46×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
40.8
fires under 35 · fires near $16.38
vs 50-day
✓
$17.34
below the line
Bollinger
●
$16.56
no lower pierce · fires near $16.51
VWAP 20
✓
$16.99
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$16.64
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$12.50
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.04
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.77×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
16.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
7.60% yld
no ex-date on file