Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SUPN) — Specialty & Generic Pharma. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SUPN fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 607.6K · 3-mo avg 807.0K

Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SUPN)

SUPNSupernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 27/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$42.45
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$44.97
center $44.97 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$20.35
47.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.98×
52-week range$40.51 – $59.68
Below high since 2015-30.0% · $60.92 high
Risk / reward0.74 : 1
Plan stop$39.55
Max pain$44.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.9 fires under 35 · fires near $40.53
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.6× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield1.9% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 71% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
43.9
fires under 35 · fires near $40.53
vs 50-day
✓
$45.15
below the line
Bollinger
●
$40.87
no lower pierce · fires near $40.47
VWAP 20
✓
$42.72
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$42.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.24
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.98×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file