Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. (SIM) — Steel Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SIMpeers & supply-chain relationships

SIM fair-value estimate

SIM earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 110.1K · 3-mo avg 13.8K

Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. (SIM)

SIMGrupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 27/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$28.71
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$29.25
center $29.25 · basis · daily pivot + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average17.43×
52-week range$25.20 – $34.59
Below high since 2015-27.3% · $39.67 high
Risk / reward0.16 : 1
Plan stop$26.42
Max pain—
RSI 1454.9 fires under 35 · fires near $23.62
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple25.7× fwd · 21.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past14th pctile · 10.9× median
Free cash flow yield-56.0% · burning cash

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 3.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 96% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.9
fires under 35 · fires near $23.62
vs 50-day
✓
$28.59
at the line
Bollinger
●
$24.53
no lower pierce · fires near $23.92
VWAP 20
✓
$28.99
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$28.71
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.05
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
17.43×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file