Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHECF) — Commodity Chemicals. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SHECFpeers & supply-chain relationships

SHECF fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.8K · 3-mo avg 6.5K

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHECF)

SHECFShin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~42% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 46/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$37.25
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$39–40
center $39.32 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + round + sma 200 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.08×
52-week range$26.74 – $50.77
Below high since 2023-26.3% · $50.77 high
Risk / reward0.26 : 1
Plan stop$30.21
Max pain—
RSI 1450.8 fires under 35 · fires near $31.12
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple23.5× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield524.9% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 7.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
50.8
fires under 35 · fires near $31.12
vs 50-day
✓
$37.77
at the line
Bollinger
●
$34.55
no lower pierce · fires near $34.14
VWAP 20
●
$36.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $36.71
Entry level
✓
$37.25
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.10
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.08×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$3.26
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
1.95% yld
no ex-date on file