Celanese Corporation (CE) — $45.63 +2.63%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CEpeers & supply-chain relationships

CE fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 212.1K · Avg 1.87M
CECelanese Corporation$45.63+2.63%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -5 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, the balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-5net
1 bull / 4 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$44.24
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$47–49
center $47.99 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.76
10.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.11× · 212.1K vs 1.87M avg
52-week range$35.13 – $70.70
Below high since 2015-75.3% · $180.03 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.9
Plan stop$39.92
Max pain$45.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.0 fires under 35 · fires near $43.20
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$45.63
$37.84 · -17.1%-17.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+10.4% · $50.39+10.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
44.0
fires under 35 · fires near $43.20
vs 50-day
$48.12
below the line
Bollinger
$42.31
no lower pierce · fires near $41.69
VWAP 20
$44.92
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $44.90
Entry level
$44.24
level below · fires near $44.66
Put wall
$40.00
OI strike below · fires near $40.18
MACD
+0.07
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.11×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
11.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.16
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
0.26% yld
no ex-date on file
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed