Dow Inc. (DOW) — Commodity Chemicals. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.13M · 3-mo avg 8.62M

Dow Inc. (DOW)

DOWDow Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$30.81
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$32–33
near the options pressure point, a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $32.21 · Nov 9
±$2.33
±7.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume17% below normal0.83× its 20-day average
Past year's range$20.93 – $42.74lowest to highest price
From its peak57.1% belowpeak $72.18, highest since 2019
Gain vs. risk0.48 to 1$0.48 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$28.38the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)46.7fires under 35 · fires near $28.24
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.9× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 20.7×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-6.5%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
46.7
fires under 35 · fires near $28.24
vs 50-day
●
$30.09
above the line · fires near $30.36
Bollinger
●
$28.17
no lower pierce · fires near $27.56
VWAP 20
✓
$32.04
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$30.81
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$29.50
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-0.27
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.35
ex-date 2026-11-30