Dow Inc. (DOW) — Commodity Chemicals. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

DOWpeers & supply-chain relationships

DOW fair-value estimate

DOW earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 8.84M · 3-mo avg 10.00M

Dow Inc. (DOW)

DOWDow Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
-3net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 45/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$28.42
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24 · price is 1.4% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$29.94
center $29.94 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.05
7.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.00×
52-week range$20.65 – $42.74
Below high since 2019-61.2% · $72.18 high
Risk / reward0.78 : 1
Plan stop$26.46
Max pain$30.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.4 fires under 35 · fires near $27.34
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.9× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-7.0% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 61% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
38.4
fires under 35 · fires near $27.34
vs 50-day
✓
$29.89
below the line
Bollinger
●
$27.71
no lower pierce · fires near $27.60
VWAP 20
✓
$29.46
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$28.42
below the model level
Put wall
✓
$28.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.12
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.00×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.92
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 20 sessions
Next dividend
5.00% yld
no ex-date on file