Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) — $12.13 +1.00%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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ACIpeers & supply-chain relationships

ACI fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.03M · Avg 8.69M
ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.$12.13+1.00%Pre-market$12.15+0.16%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -6 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, 2 accounting red flags are raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-6net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 3 pts·Bear 9 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$12.07
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$13.19
center $13.19 · basis · round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.54
4.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.81× · 7.03M vs 8.69M avg
52-week range$10.86 – $20.00
Below high since 2020-67.8% · $37.67 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.8
Plan stop$10.64
Max pain$7.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1441.8 fires under 35 · fires near $11.34
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$12.13
$9.38 · -22.7%-22.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.4% · $12.67+4.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
41.8
fires under 35 · fires near $11.34
vs 50-day
$13.76
below the line
Bollinger
$9.90
no lower pierce · fires near $9.43
VWAP 20
$12.09
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $12.08
Entry level
$12.07
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$11.00
OI strike below · fires near $11.05
MACD
+0.05
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.81×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
15.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.72
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
13 Oct 2026
· in 62 days
Next dividend
5.61% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed